2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: "If my Democratic candidate doesn't win, [View all]thesquanderer
(11,982 posts)As I have mostly said before...
* The Republican machine has been stoking Hillary hate for 20+ years. There are a lot of Republicans who simply will never vote for her, not because she's a Dem, but specifically because she's Hillary Clinton, and there's nothing she can do about it. BS doesn't start with that particular strike against him.
* Assuming that the Republicans ultimately put up a "traditional" candidate like Bush or Rubio, there is a large group of anti-establishment Trump/Carson/Fiorina Republicans who may be up for grabs... but they're not going to be Hillary voters, that's another establishment candidate.
* There are those in the Libertarian wing who might consider Sanders based on his positions on things like NAFTA/TPP, Patriot Act, IWR. Again, especially depending on who the Republican candidate is, some may feel that half-a-Paul is better than none. What does Hillary offer this bunch?
* And even a lot of Republicans think the banks are too big. Or actually think Social Security should not be cut. Or are concerned about sending their kids to college. Basically, some of his positions do resonate with some segments of Republican voters.
There is always some crossover voting. I think BS would likely get more of it than HRC.
That said, I think HRC is more likely to be the nominee.