Democratic Primaries

Hortensis

(58,785 posts)

19. The solid Democratic base of all colors and ethnicities isn't with him.

Tue Oct 1, 2019, 05:51 PM

Oct 2019

Of course. People who vote strongly for Democratic values against Republican corruption really don't like to be called Republicans.

Further, even his avowed supporters have poor turnout records in the primaries. And then some. Coming home to family activities after work correlates a lot better with voting than going to rallies in college towns. Many aren't even registered to vote, and of course others aren't registered Democrat in states where that's required.

Wish I had a figure for that, but if he's tied with another candidate he's actually behind by a few to several percentage points.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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Highlight:

Nate Silver is a joke [View all] Hassin Bin Sober Oct 2019 OP

Silver is right Renew Deal Oct 2019 #1

You're correct about that. NurseJackie Oct 2019 #7

The solid Democratic base of all colors and ethnicities isn't with him. Hortensis Oct 2019 #19

Can't read it ??? left-of-center2012 Oct 2019 #2

Click on each section TheRickles Oct 2019 #4

Silver's a solid pollster bucolic_frolic Oct 2019 #3

He's not a pollster at all jcgoldie Oct 2019 #5

He's a terrible political analyst sharedvalues Oct 2019 #28

Silver is letting his political preferences cloud his judgement ritapria Oct 2019 #6

Those comments would seem to be in conflict but I think they are both correct in the examples given. honest.abe Oct 2019 #8

I see no contradiction there. BlueMississippi Oct 2019 #9

"taking back the House" vs Presidential elections. Amimnoch Oct 2019 #10

Yes. This. Thank you. NurseJackie Oct 2019 #13

Nate is right.... and Bernie has almost no shot of winning the Dem nomination scheming daemons Oct 2019 #11

Great observations, descriptions and explanations. NurseJackie Oct 2019 #14

"Disqualifying...!!!" LanternWaste Oct 2019 #12

I have found that he often delivers great analysis. TidalWave46 Oct 2019 #15

The principles behind Primaries and General Elections are different. brooklynite Oct 2019 #16

Congressional and Presidential campaigns are two different things. TwilightZone Oct 2019 #17

This message was self-deleted by its author elocs Oct 2019 #18

The graphic is illegible. What's the current outrage about? Politicub Oct 2019 #20

Can't you just be outraged without asking questions? TidalWave46 Oct 2019 #22

Do you need a tutorial on links and cursors? Hassin Bin Sober Oct 2019 #25

Jacobin Celerity Oct 2019 #21

Nate Silver triggers the Sanders camp. Bigly... comradebillyboy Oct 2019 #23

sometimes I don't like what Nate Silver says.... Skid Rogue Oct 2019 #24

The boy genious who never saw Trump coming. BeckyDem Oct 2019 #26

Nate Silver is mean. lapucelle Oct 2019 #27

I agree with Nate Gothmog Oct 2019 #29