The solid Democratic base of all colors and ethnicities isn't with him. (Reply #19)

In the discussion thread: Nate Silver is a joke [View all]

Tue Oct 1, 2019, 04:51 PM

Hortensis (55,143 posts)

19. The solid Democratic base of all colors and ethnicities isn't with him.

Of course. People who vote strongly for Democratic values against Republican corruption really don't like to be called Republicans.

Further, even his avowed supporters have poor turnout records in the primaries. And then some. Coming home to family activities after work correlates a lot better with voting than going to rallies in college towns. Many aren't even registered to vote, and of course others aren't registered Democrat in states where that's required.

Wish I had a figure for that, but if he's tied with another candidate he's actually behind by a few to several percentage points.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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Replies to this discussion thread

29 replies	Author	Time	Post
Nate Silver is a joke [View all]	Hassin Bin Sober	Oct 2019	OP
Silver is right	Renew Deal	Oct 2019	#1
You're correct about that.	NurseJackie	Oct 2019	#7
The solid Democratic base of all colors and ethnicities isn't with him.	Hortensis	Oct 2019	#19
Can't read it ???	left-of-center2012	Oct 2019	#2
Click on each section	TheRickles	Oct 2019	#4
Silver's a solid pollster	bucolic_frolic	Oct 2019	#3
He's not a pollster at all	jcgoldie	Oct 2019	#5
He's a terrible political analyst	sharedvalues	Oct 2019	#28
Silver is letting his political preferences cloud his judgement	ritapria	Oct 2019	#6
Those comments would seem to be in conflict but I think they are both correct in the examples given.	honest.abe	Oct 2019	#8
I see no contradiction there.	BlueMississippi	Oct 2019	#9
"taking back the House" vs Presidential elections.	Amimnoch	Oct 2019	#10
Yes. This. Thank you.	NurseJackie	Oct 2019	#13
Nate is right.... and Bernie has almost no shot of winning the Dem nomination	scheming daemons	Oct 2019	#11
Great observations, descriptions and explanations.	NurseJackie	Oct 2019	#14
"Disqualifying...!!!"	LanternWaste	Oct 2019	#12
I have found that he often delivers great analysis.	TidalWave46	Oct 2019	#15
The principles behind Primaries and General Elections are different.	brooklynite	Oct 2019	#16
Congressional and Presidential campaigns are two different things.	TwilightZone	Oct 2019	#17
This message was self-deleted by its author	elocs	Oct 2019	#18
The graphic is illegible. What's the current outrage about?	Politicub	Oct 2019	#20
Can't you just be outraged without asking questions?	TidalWave46	Oct 2019	#22
Do you need a tutorial on links and cursors?	Hassin Bin Sober	Oct 2019	#25
Jacobin	Celerity	Oct 2019	#21
Nate Silver triggers the Sanders camp. Bigly...	comradebillyboy	Oct 2019	#23
sometimes I don't like what Nate Silver says....	Skid Rogue	Oct 2019	#24
The boy genious who never saw Trump coming.	BeckyDem	Oct 2019	#26
Nate Silver is mean.	lapucelle	Oct 2019	#27
I agree with Nate	Gothmog	Oct 2019	#29

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