Reply #111: "likely voters" ... I'm curious [View All]

[Literate Tar Heel]

about what criteria they used to determine who is a "likely voter" ... voted in the last election? voted in the last 3 elections? is age a factor? ... the latest Rasmussen poll in N.C. from June said that Kerry's strongest support in the state is from voters under 30 and given the large number of college students who may be voting in their first election and the fact that Hispanics are a very fast-growing segment of the population in the state, it sounds like there could be several percentage points there who are for Kerry that probably wouldn't fit under the "likely voter" category but who very well may vote ... also keep in mind that the state is about 22% African-American and there could be a larger turn-out among those who weren't terribly enthused (understandably) by Gore in 2000, but may be energized by the way Bush has slighted the NAACP and the fact that Edwards, whose message is very popular with them, is on the ticket ... most of these people would probably not be considered "likely voters" either