Reply #6: The data is correct the analysis is wrong [View All]

[pschoeb]

Those small counties with high Dem rgistration, are Harry Byrd Democrats, they vote southern Dem in locals, and Republican otherwise. Check out Historical data from past presidential elections, these counties always swing Repug despite high dem registration

Despite the registration data, which seems to match something I found here, the counties that seem to have high Dem registration but swing strongly to Bush, have a history of strong Republican voting. So I'm not sure whats going on there.

I found the registraion data here, and it seems to match the ustogether site
http://election.dos.state.fl.us/voterreg/vrArchive/2004voterreg.shtml#04gen

But if you look at the 1988 election, many of these counties with high Dem registration, vote for Bush senior in the same manner as 2004
http://election.dos.state.fl.us/elections/resultsarchive/DetailRpt.Asp?ELECTIONDATE=11/8/88&RACE=PRE&PARTY=&DIST=&GRP=&DATAMODE=

Next is the 1992 election, but remember Ross perot syphoned aff Repug votes, same kind of republican pattern
http://election.dos.state.fl.us/elections/resultsarchive/DetailRpt.Asp?ELECTIONDATE=11/3/92&RACE=PRE&PARTY=&DIST=&GRP=&DATAMODE=

Next is the 1996 election
http://election.dos.state.fl.us/elections/resultsarchive/DetailRpt.Asp?ELECTIONDATE=11/5/96&RACE=PRE&PARTY=&DIST=&GRP=&DATAMODE=

And Finally the 2000 election
http://election.dos.state.fl.us/elections/resultsarchive/DetailRpt.Asp?ELECTIONDATE=11/7/00&RACE=PRE&PARTY=&DIST=&GRP=&DATAMODE=

So despite the High Democratic registration, many of these "Dems" vote Republican.