University Of E. Anglia Study - Oaks, Bluebells, Apples & Spring Gone By 2050 As UK Seasons Merge [View All]

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British gardeners could be left tending pomegranates and figs instead of apples and runner beans if climate change continues at the current rate, according to an academic model of likely conditions by 2050. Traditional seasons will merge into a constant, largely warm climate by the middle of the century, says the study from the University of East Anglia, which also foresees year-round weeds, giant wasps and an end to the bluebell.

"The future looks extremely challenging if change continues at the present rate," said David Viner of the climatic research unit at East Anglia, which carried out the study for the satellite and cable TV channel UKTV Gardens. "If nothing is done to reduce the effects of global warming, we could be seeing the extinction of staple flowers and trees of the traditional British garden, including the bluebell and the oak."

Even the national symbol, the rose, is at risk in the event of temperature surges. The study projected figures from the central England temperature record, which dates back to 1659, into the next half century. It predicts a 4% rise in average annual temperatures by 2050, rising to 6% by the end of the century, with unpredictable highs of more than 40C (104F) likely within 40 years. The climate would sustain more aggressive wasp species and year-round mildew and weeds, currently killed off by sustained cold and frost.

Dr Viner said the "grim reading" in the report chimed with current political efforts to underline the dangers of global warming. "Since the garden is the one location where the majority of Britons will feel the full force of climate change, this highlights the need for everyone to be aware of how they can help adapt their day to day lifestyles now to help reduce the devastating effects of global warming."

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http://www.guardian.co.uk/uk_news/story/0,,2033265,00.html