Reply #6: That's easy to say, but... [View All]

[SteppingRazor]

it doesn't play out geographically. The House is huge, so it'd take me a while to go through the whole breakdown, but look at the Senate. While protecting our vulnerable seats in Michigan and New Jersey, we would need to pick up six seats to win back the Senate. The most likely are Montana, Missouri, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Ohio and Tennessee. Each and every one of those is more or less a tossup, with a few (Pennsylvania) more likely than others (Tennessee). For us to win all six of those is going to be extremely difficult, especially in traditionally red states like TN and in blue states where we're running against a moderate GOPper, like Rhode Island.

It's easy to just say "People are pissed, we're gonna win!" but a careful look at the demographic and geographic breakdown of the 2006 election cycle doesn't necessarily bear this out.