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Reply #9: I wouldn't over-estimate her pull on the primary vote. [View All]

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
ellisonz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jun-22-07 04:02 AM
Response to Reply #3
9. I wouldn't over-estimate her pull on the primary vote.
Edited on Fri Jun-22-07 04:05 AM by ellisonz
Assigning meaning to these early polls gives a false impression intended to produce an "inevitability" effect on the race. Iowa, NH, NV, and South Carolina for all their political squalor, still are likely to be incredibly skeptical of Hillary Clinton because she is clearly the establishment MSM candidate, and because of Clenis for whatever it's worth.

For Obama and Edwards to topple Hillary's money advantage they need to put her in 3rd in Iowa, keep NH close (independent voters), and then give her a whoopin' in South Carolina. Most Hillary lovers here appear to be either "dull" or from NY or New England, which tend to have very little influence on the Democratic Primary, much less the national election, so don't take them too seriously. Hillary is by no means a lock for anything. I'm leaning towards Obama, but praying Gore runs, because he will clean her Repuke-lite clock.

Rage against the trolls :argh:

:hi:
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