Reply #82: Democrat-Since-Birth, you say Hillary will get 75 percent of the Jewish vote. [View All]

[breadandwine]

Is that faint praise for her? With Hillary's high negatives and her energizing the GOP base, she will need more than 75 percent of the Jewish vote. Nationally, Democrats often do much better than 75 percent of the Jewish vote.

Your claim that Bill Clinton is a rock star in Israel may not be as relevant as you think. Bill is not Hillary. And the issue is not what Jews or even Israelis, think of Hillary at the moment. The issue is what Jews and many non-Jews may think of her after the GOP unloads their attack ads on her, featuring those photos. They won't just mention it. The GOP knows how to harp on something people don't want to think about. They will rub it in.

Moreover, Senator Chuck Schumer had to reassure Jewish voters in New York that Hillary "will (future tense) be pro-Israel," because many Jews were worried. Many Jews have forgiven Hillary, but do you think people, including many non-Jews, will be as forgiving in the Midwest and in many other parts of the country when the GOP goes on the attack? There will also be Jews outside of New York who were not as aware of those photos. Even if many Jews refuse to vote GOP, if they are harangued by the GOP with TV ads about this, it could depress Jewish turnout nationally, and that could be a problem in states like Florida and elsewhere, such as Pennsylvania. But the attacks, and GOP TV ads with those photos, won't just target Jewish voters. They will be aimed at upsetting many non-Jewish voters as well.

There is a bit of Hillary denial here.