Reply #15: Edwards would have to [View All]

[Nicholas_J]

Take every primary since Wisconsin with a minimum of 58 percent of the delegates, plus get all of the superdelegates that are left in order to reach the 2162 delegates necessary to win the nomination. A full half of the delegates necessary to win the nomination are being selected on Tuesday. Even a win in 3 states on tuesday will not do it for Edwards, as after Tuesday, there is nowhere for that momentum to take him, except into second place. Kerry will still be receiving delegates in those states, so no matter what, Kerry stays ahead of Edwards. There is almost no mathematical possibility to Edwards to win, as all Kerry needs to do is maintain an average of 35 percent in all of the remaining primaries to win. After tuesday, there are only 25 percent of pledged delegates left.