What Would Happen if Hillary Clinton lost California? [View All]

[K Gardner]

MR. MURPHY: One poll--in all this forest of polls in a year where we've learned to be a little worried about these last-minute polls, there's one that if I were working for Hillary Clinton would scare the heck out of me, and that's California, because I've seen a private poll, similar numbers, about two points, and he's been picking up almost a half point to a point a day. And everything happens first in California, and that's a good bellwether. If it's bad there, it's going to be bad everywhere.

MR. RUSSERT: What would happen if Hillary Clinton lost California?

MR. CARVILLE: It would be bad. It would be really bad.

MR. RUSSERT: Really bad.

MR. CARVILLE: Yeah, it really would. I just know. I'm for her, I love her to death, I think she would be a great president, but losing in--I mean, I guess if she carried a bunch of other states, generally what happens--and I agree with Bob--generally what happens is, is that it breaks in favor of one candidate or the other on Election Day.

The other thing I would say, I don't know a political professional who would place any stalk in a 36-34 poll. There is just not that big...

MR. SHRUM: Right.

MR. MURPHY: Right, right.

MR. CARVILLE: ...of undecideds in California. I promise you that. Now, I don't want to have a Field poll down on me, but there's not a political professional in the world that wouldn't automatically discount a 36-34 poll right now.

MR. RUSSERT: Forty-eight hours before an election.

(Meet the Press, Feb 3, 2008)
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/22976998/page/2/