Reply #195: The graph shows a couple of things.... [View All]

[earthlover]

1) Clinton and Obama have been close to each other and trading leads for awhile. Neither is trending up or down, it's more back and forth.

2) There has not been a shift to Hillary long-term over the Wright issue. The "lead" she had was short and merely part of the previous pattern of "back and forth". There certainly was no sharp drop off of Obama's support or anything resembling a trend.

I think this is good news for Obama. I think many were worried that the Wright thing might have significantly hurt him. Apparently it has not.
So it is back to the same back and forth for awhile.

This is significant for Obama because he holds most of the cards, delegate-wise. If Hillary were able to show a significant decline in the polls by Obama, she could have a talking point in persuading the super delegates. There is nothing to point to in the above data that gives her any such arguement.