Reply #6: He may be a little closer than 259... [View All]

[Herman74]

New Mexico's governor will be out campaigning for him, and it appears to me that New Mexico's vacant U.S. Senate seat will go blue. Obama's generally been ahead in the polls for New Mexico.

I think Georgia is really a long shot even with Bob Barr (I myself wouldn't have considered it).

Colorado's been polling well for Obama/Biden. In addition, the vacant Senate seat may well go blue.

Since 2002, when Florida went for Jeb for Governor, the state has been typically messed up. I'm more confident of a win elsewhere.

Virginia is a possibility. The Dem governor, senator, and future senator will be doing all they can to help Obama and Biden. I think the polling is about even there.

Ohio could go either way, but will probably go Dem. The anti-gay marriage initiative thing that hurt Kerry in 2004 won't be around to do damage to Obama.

I agree with you that Indiana probably isn't going to happen, but there's a possibility of a winning gain on the Montana/North Dakota combo.

I'm surprised and disappointed that Missouri hasn't been polling better. But I would consider Missouri before considering Georgia.

Generally, right NOW at least it's not looking good for McCain. See www.pollster.com.