Reply #12: 1 & 3 are true, but 2 isn't entirely [View All]

[ShadowLiberal]

While demographic changes favor us keep in mind some of our groups will likely vote in smaller numbers in 2010 (young, blacks), but you're still generally correct there and on people remembering the bad years of GOP rule. Back in 1994 it had been over 4 decades since the GOP had control of the house, and not one of the republicans serving in the house in that congress had ever served when their party was in the majority.

On #2 however there's other new issues that could hurt us at the polls rather then guns. Off the top of my head here's what ones they're talking about.

1) Health Care (Like it or not the other side is angry because they believe all of the lies about it that the RW is spewing and will be more motivated to turn out and vote because of it)

2) The Bailouts (Even if this is a bipartisan thing it'll hurt us more because the out of power party is more likely to show up and vote, and we have more seats to defend)

3) The stimulus package (I'm still very skeptical that this one will matter much, but it did force Specter out of his party)

4) (to a lesser degree) The greenhouse gas environment legislation (The GOP is going to be slamming house democrats on this for 'raising the cost of living' with the legislation, etc)

In my honest opinion we're likely to lose more seats then we gain, especially in the house, though we'll probably have more luck in the senate with so many GOP retirements.