Reply #14: Polls, schmolls... I've still got Kerry winning all the Gore states [View All]

[featherman]

plus NH for 264. This is based more on electoral history, registration, regional identity, and voting trends than on wacky, small sample state polls.

His winning electoral margin will depend on which of these most likely states he adds:
NV, AZ, CO, MO, AR, OH, WV, FL

I have my doubts about VA, NC etc unless his PV totals goes up to +4 or more instead of the more likely +2 or +2.5.

As a side note: keep an eye on Montana, not a bad place to make a play. Voted for Clinton in 1992 and has such a small population that a strong push in Missoula and Billings might swing the state. Just a thought.

We survived August and the GOP convention bounce and things are getting back to where they should be, mapwise.