Reply #26: I agree Iran and Iraq are linked, but I think it's this way... [View All]

[HamdenRice]

The political/military disaster in Iraq has basically handed Iraq over to it's Shiite majority, and hence to Iran. Yesterday, Robert Fisk gave an interesting interview to Amy Goodman of Democracy Now, and he confirmed that Iraq is being handed over to Iran.

I think the strategic thinkers in the civilian side of the Pentagon have concluded that handing Iraq over to Iran will be acceptable if there is an acceptable Iranian regime in Tehran.

In other words, the outcome in Iraq may dictate not restraint on Iran, but increasingly necessity in their minds for regime change. In the long run, in their minds, this might mean less of the threat from the Shiite south to the British presence.

And as for popular opinion in Britain, I don't think Bush cares about Blair's position. Blair has no choice but to go along with Bush, even if it means political suicide in Britain for him.