Reply #4: Headed for a cave-in [View All]

[PATRICK]

Which the media will resist and only cave by the signs of a careful fade-away. Conservatives hate him. The religious right deals are dysfunctional and badly handled, much more deeply wounding than the Pastor Wright trivia which does not affect any Dem base in any such critical manner. McCain is all deals and all myth in a sense that none of them are functional, though inescapably necessary.

The hardening of the GOP political arteries has not been diagnosed, noted or forced into real performance yet. There is nothing but the silent treatment for his scandals, hypocrisy, age dysfunctions, health, Bush problem, GOP record, the economy or any policy he cannot change at all, base disaffection, money woes.

Today is the phony picture. People are simply not engaged no matter how wonks tear their hair out or the Bushies take comfort in having things so static and so good for them in the power moment.

Without a great figure that automatically commands national popularity, such as an Eisenhower or an incumbent, things will not begin to resolve into a crushing Obama victory until the Convention. Instead of a bounce it can likely be just a confirmed high point till November with the GOP Convention even potentially soured by libertarians and Conservatives- while McCain will be forced to pick someone "conciliatory" as Veep, likely a Bush drone like Romney.

The MSM will never react rationally to let you see that any more than it clearly outlined Bush's decline in popularity or the Recession of 2008.