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Florida E-Vote Study Debunked

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Kelvin Mace Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-07-04 10:56 PM
Original message
Florida E-Vote Study Debunked
http://www.wired.com/news/evote/0,2645,65896,00.html

A study by Berkeley grad students and a professor showing anomalies with electronic-voting machines in Florida has been debunked by numerous academics who say the students used a faulty equation to reach their results and should never have released the study before getting it peer-reviewed.

The study, released three weeks ago by seven graduate students from the University of California, Berkeley's Quantitative Methods Research Team and sociology professor Michael Hout, presented analysis showing a discrepancy in the number of votes Bush received in counties that used touch-screen voting machines versus counties that used other types of voting equipment.

But Bruce McCullough, a decisions science professor at Drexel University in Philadelphia, and Binghamton University economics professor Florenz Plassmann released an analysis (.pdf) of the Berkeley report criticizing the results.

According to the Berkeley study, the number of votes granted to Bush in touch-screen counties far exceeded expectation, given a number of variables -- including the number of votes those counties gave Bush in 2000 -- while counties using other types of voting equipment gave Bush a predictable number of votes.

The analysis was not peer-reviewed, although Hout and the students said that seven professors examined their numbers. They would not speculate about what occurred with the voting machines, but voting activists on internet forums seized the study as proof of faulty voting machines or election fraud. Drexel University's McCullough, however, found fault with the study.

Kim Zetter is a good reporter and friendly to anti-BBV issues. I fear now that she will be attacked as (pick one):

A Freeper
Agent of Karl Rove
Diebold Shill
Sleeper agent planted in her mother's womb by The Evil Cabal(tm)

David Allen
www.thoughtcrimes.org
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Barrett808 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-07-04 11:34 PM
Response to Original message
1. Important result - Statistics are notoriously difficult to treat correctly
One of the reasons I got a D in my Probability and Statistics class in college. x(
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Old Mouse Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-07-04 11:37 PM
Response to Original message
2. how many
times are you going to post this same story as LBN?
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RUMMYisFROSTED Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-08-04 12:22 AM
Response to Reply #2
3. As many times as it takes?
:shrug:
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Kelvin Mace Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-08-04 12:51 AM
Response to Reply #2
6. Not my fault
the system "stuttered" when I posted.

David Allen
www.thoughtcrimes.org
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liberalcenter Donating Member (44 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-08-04 12:24 AM
Response to Original message
4. Dup Post
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Dr Fate Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-08-04 12:27 AM
Response to Original message
5. So there were no voting "irregularities", no "glitches" favoring Bush?
Is that what this article is trying to say?

I've seen no official investigation one way or the other.

I'd love to.
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