anything will turn out OK with a US occupation, because as long as we are occupying it will not be OK. The underlying tensions between Sunnis and Shias and Kurds, where they exist, exist precisely because of our legacy of imperialism and colonisalism in the region, and are being encourged by us in order to provide an excuse for continuing the occupation. In that sense your earlier comparison with Rwanda has a certain amount of relevance - the reason for ethnic tensions and genocide in Rwanda was that during the colonial era these tensions were promoted as a means of controlling the population. In Iraq, this sort of sectarianism was promoted in part by our backing of Saddam in the Iraq-Iran war, and now by these so-called elections. Of course Saddam also used sectarianism, particularly with regards to the Kurds, for his own political ends too. Power sharing on ethnic or religious lines almost never works, because it entrenches divides that need to be surmounted. And yet despite all this, the Iraqi freedom fighters are remarkably united on one thing:
75% of all attacks are against the coalition forces. This is the problem for the occupation, that despite all provocations, Iraqi resistance fighters are still generally more interested in attacking the occupying forces rather than each other. But we are doing our damnedest to change this, and if we succeed there may well be a civli war. And boy would that be a convinient excuse to remain in Iraq, permanent bases in tow, or what? See, its not just that I want US forces out of there. I oppose any foreign force in Iraq whatever. And I don't think there would be much of an Iraqi civil war if our withdrawal was coupled to reparations, because the Iraqis would suddenly find that they had a country to rebuild, and money to do it with. There would be no incentive to fight, and no incentive for Iran or Turkey to intefere either - Iran has plenty of problems at home, and Turkey wants to join the EU pretty badly. But the ensuing democratic independant Iraq would do our imperial ambitions no good whatsoever, so it ain't gonna be allowwed to happen.