New Tropical Storm/Hurricane Forming Near Where Dennis Started

[althecat]

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATWOAT+shtml/102106.shtml

000
ABNT20 KNHC 102106
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
DENNIS...LOCATED INLAND ABOUT 20 MILES NORTH OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA
OR NEAR MOLINO FLORIDA.

A VIGOROUS TROPICAL WAVE...ACCOMPANIED BY A WELL-DEFINED LOW
PRESSURE AREA...IS LOCATED ABOUT 1180 MILES EAST OF THE SOUTHERN
LESSER ANTILLES. THIS SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME BETTER
ORGANIZED...AND CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TO DEVELOP LATER TONIGHT OR ON MONDAY AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO
15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART

$$

[Spinzonner]

1. Dennis and the Hurricane Factory ?

[tinfoilinfor2005]

2. Oh that's great. I just spent six hours cleaning up from Dennis.

:(

[HeeBGBz]

3. Here we go

We got nothing from Dennis. Rather anti-climatic.

Florida got whupped though.

[malaise]

4. This cannot be happening

[Boomer]

8. Welcome to the benefits of global warming

Hey, what's the big deal about an extra degree centigrade here or there?

Looks like we're about to find out.

[malaise]

9. That's the truth

Thanks Bushco.

[Boomer]

10. Wish I could blame BuschCo but...

...this problem has been in the making for the last century and no one has had the political will to respond with appropriate measures.

Granted, * isn't helping, but there's plenty of blame to go around.

[malaise]

28. Valid point

Anyway TD#5 is likely to be tropical Storm Emily later today and seems to be heading in the direction of the Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, DR, the Bahamas, South Florida and the Carolinas. It's few days away so who knows what will happen.
http://www.weather.com/maps/maptype/satelliteworld/atlanticoceansatellite_large.html

[Eloriel]

30. I put a lot of blame on Clinton's shoulders

When the history of this era is written -- assuming there's a human race around to write it and give a damn (read it) -- I think it will be Clinton who will be faulted for having had the best chance to make it THE number one priority, above all else. Everything else that went on, and is going on, will pale in comparison. After all, "Good (inhabitable) planets are hard to find."

[Media_Lies_Daily]

33. What was he supposed to do when faced with a GOP in control of...

...Congress? Do you think any extra emphasis from Clinton would have influenced the GOP-controlled Congress to back any program but their own?

[CatholicEdHead]

22. Not really

Hurricanes are on a 20-30 year cycle of many storms and then few storms. We do not have good enough records from the last acitve cycles to determine any intensity increases. Property damage amounts are useless because of the simple overbuilding on the coast in the past few decades.

http://www.post-gazette.com/pg/04277/388989.stm

[Stuckinthebush]

32. Excellent points

Especially the one about overbuilding.

30 years ago, the area were Dennis hit was a small tourist town and sleepy fishing village.

Now, it is a booming tourist area with multi-million dollar homes and condos dotting every square foot of the coast line.

[1monster]

24. So, let's cool it down a bit. Do we have a physicist in the house?

How many millions of tons of ice would we need to drop in the Caribbean, Gulf, and Atlantic growing grounds of hurricanes to lower the temp enough to have just have a few less powerful hurricanes a year?

And which DUer has a freezer big enough? }(

[TroubleMan]

5. So what.....we're gonna get one a week now?

On the downside I live in West Palm Beach.

On the upside, I'm looking to buy a house, so maybe this will make the costs go down.....j/k

[Boomer]

7. That's one way of looking at it!

>> so maybe this will make the costs go down <<

The cost is always lower when you have to assemble the pieces yourself. }(

[iconoclastic cat]

6. God has HAD IT with Florida.

Lorien, grab your cats and RUN!

[sierrageoffrey]

11. Pacific so quiet

If we're going to sell global warming to the masses, we need to come up with a reason why the pacific is so quiet. Typhoon season is non existent and no hurricanes off the pacific coast, even with a El Nino in place.

[iconoclastic cat]

12. Welcome, Sierraoffrey!

Make sure you check out the Lounge action.

As for your post, I don't think that the concept of global warming needs to be sold. It's accepted scientific fact. Awareness, on the other hand, is still a problem.

Cya 'round!:toast:

[Art_from_Ark]

13. "Pacific so quiet"

When you refer to the "Pacific coast", I assume you're referring to the Pacific coast of Asia. Pacific typhoons follow basically the same pattern as Atlantic hurricanes, with a typical west-north-northeast movement. The year has so far been quiet, as you say, with only 4 typhoons so far and none since June 11. However, the peak of the typhoon season is from July to October, so things may be gearing up later.

For what it's worth, last year was one of the worst typhoon years on record in Japan, with 10 typhoons making landfall in the country, including a record five striking the island of Shikoku.

[althecat]

19. Last year's typhoon season was diabolical.... I suspect it is

.. just a matter of time before the typhoon seeding grounds start doing their stuff.

[QC]

14. Hello, Rev. Falwell. n/t

[lovuian]

15. This is a result of Global Warming and its going to change our

lives in the gulf tremendously!!!

[shawmut]

16. and believe it or not there is another one behind it

some of the models are showing the one just off the African coast developing too.

[shawmut]

17. TD 5 has officially formed

just waiting for the advisory.

[althecat]

18. You sound like you have inside info WXmike....

Was WX stand for weather forecaster?

[shawmut]

20. WX is the Morse code abbreviation for weather

Not inside info on the new TD, I got it off a site full of fellow weather geeks. :)

[althecat]

21. Thought I remembered something vaguely like that...

So where do these weather geeks hang out? Or is this a secret... I am a bit weather obsessed myself I must confess.

[shawmut]

23. I check these three sites

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showforum=15

http://www.wright-weather.com/

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/index.php



lot's of good information can be found in the threads on those message boards.

[HeeBGBz]

25. Read em and weep

[althecat]

26. TD5 has formed - Likely To Be Hurricane Emily In 72 Hours

TD5 has formed - Likely To Be Hurricane Emily In 72 Hours

000
WTNT35 KNHC 110240
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SUN JUL 10 2005

...FIFTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION OF THE SEASON DEVELOPS OVER THE
CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC OCEAN...

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 42.9 WEST OR ABOUT
1280 MILES...2055 KM... EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON MONDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...10.8 N... 42.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 5 AM AST.

FORECASTER STEWART


$$
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT05/refresh/AL0505W_sm2+gif/025038W_sm.gif

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT05/refresh/AL0505I_sm2+gif/025038P_sm.gif

[althecat]

27. Since we now have confirmation... New Thread Here

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=102x1617114

[Name removed]

29. Deleted message

Message removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.

[Roland99]

31. Going to take a more eastern track, eh? Might hit Miami?