Forecast: Hurricane Season Far From Over

[truthpusher]

http://abcnews.go.com/Technology/wireStory?id=1092596&CMP=OTC-RSSFeeds0312

Forecast: Hurricane Season Far From Over
Hurricane Forecasters Warn More Major Storms Are Likely, Predict 'Near-Record' Activity
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The Associated Press
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Sep. 3, 2005 - Amid the unfolding disaster left by Hurricane Katrina, Colorado State University researchers said Friday they expect more storms over the next two months.

"The very active season we have seen to this point is far from over," researcher Philip Klotzbach said. "We expect that by the time the 2005 hurricane season is over, we will witness seasonal tropical cyclone activity at near-record levels."

The school's hurricane forecast team of William Gray and Klotzbach said there is a 43 percent chance an intense hurricane will hit the U.S. coast in September and a 15 percent chance in October. The long-term average is 27 percent in September and 6 percent in October.

The forecasters predicted five named storms four of them hurricanes and two of those major for September, traditionally the most active month for hurricanes. The team predicted three named storms, two hurricanes and one major hurricane in October.

(snip)

complete story: http://abcnews.go.com/Technology/wireStory?id=1092596&CMP=OTC-RSSFeeds0312

[Liberal Veteran]

1. Be sure to mail this article to the White House....

...otherwise we'll be hearing Bush say "No one could have anticipated there would be more hurricanes this season."

[WhiteTara]

2. this has been on my mind for the past

several days.
:scared:

[no_hypocrisy]

3. I remember Hurricane Gloria during October 1986.

Also, would the oil companies replace the rigs if they believed that they could be hammered again until say, November? If no, then add about six months for construction. That takes us to May.

SHIT!!!!

[Maine-ah]

5. wasn't Gloria in 1985?

I know it was before '86, because I was in New Hampshire at the time, I wasn't in Maine until '86. Not that it's important, just wondering. We didn't get hit too hard where we were in N.H. but many of my family in M.A. got nailed pretty hard.

on edit:
I found this, check it out it's interesting, and a good reminder, since I was only 12 at the time.
http://www.geocities.com/hurricanene/hurricanegloria.htm

Gloria was responsible for a total of eight deaths in the United States. Two persons were killed in Connecticut, two were killed in Rhode Island, and one each in New York and New Hampshire. It is estimated that 1 hour after the storm 2.2 million people were without electricity in the Northeastern United States (Tavett). Hurricane Gloria produced one of the largest single power losses in the United States up to that time: 683,000 lost power in New York, 669,000 in Connecticut, 237,000 in New Jersey, 174,000 in Rhode Island, 124,000 in Maryland, 84,000 in Massachusetts, and 56,000 in Virginia. More than 200,000 persons evacuated the low lying areas on Long Island, and in New Jersey, Maryland, Virginia, Delaware, Connecticut, Rhode Island, and southeastern Massachusetts. Total damage is estimated at $900-million in 1986.

[Danmel]

6. Gloria was in 1986

I remember it because my bitchy boss got all bent outof shape when I said I didn't want to come in because I was concerned that there would be power failures and I wouldn't be able to get home ( There were and I ended up having to crash at my cousin's apartment 40 blocks from work becuase I had to come in or lose my job).

[Maine-ah]

9. Sept 27, 1985.

[DemInDistress]

7. I remember Hurricane Gloria

Despite the damage left in the wake of Gloria I see that storm as a God-send.NYC and the surrounding areas including our upstate reservoirs were drought stricken,reporters doing stories from the bottom of ever shrinking waters.There were water restrictions in most counties in the tri-state area,if I remember correctly water supply
was near 40/45% of capacity.Then Gloria came up the east coast fortunately for our area Gloria was moving nearly 50 mph.Anyway after
the rain raced back into a near empty reservoir worker reported Gloria raised the capacity to 85/90% full..Yes Gloria was a good thing
for our area back then "rain wise"

[Endangered Specie]

4. We are already up to "M" and halfway though the season.

[rayofreason]

8. Not just this season!

We are in for a decade of more extensive activity. Large scale ocean circulation patterns and locations of high temp water oscillate over long periods. El Nino (known as ENSO by scientists - El Nino Southern Oscillation) is one of the most widely known global oscillation by the general public, and it affects the Pacific. Another critical oscillation for hurricane development and tracking is the North Atlantic Oscillation. All of the indications is that we are heading into a period like the the 50's with increased hurricane frequency and severity.

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/outlooks/hurricane.html


Check out the raw data

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pastdec.shtml