WSLS/SurveyUSA poll shows Kaine leading for the first time (47-45)

[jefferson_dem]

:woohoo:

Three weeks from Election Day and a turn in the polls as Democrat Tim Kaine for the first time takes the lead in our exclusive SurveyUSA tracking poll. The statewide poll, taken of 750 Virginians over the weekend, shows Kaine leading with 47% of the vote. Republican Jerry Kilgore has 45%. Trailing far behind is independent candidate Russ Potts with 4%. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 3.7%, meaning the race is a statistical dead heat.

But our tracking does show a steady climb for Kaine. In March and June Kilgore was ahead by 10 points. By August the lead was smaller, Kilgore at 48% to Kaine's 43%. And last month Kilgore was leading by three points.


A Kaine spokesperson says Virginians are fed up with what they call Kilgore's negative campaign. Mo Elleithee, Kaine's communications director said, "People want someone with a positive agenda and someone who will keep Virginia moving forward. The voters are not responding well to Jerry Kilgore."


That Kilgore campaign of late has included a series verbal jabs made during last week's only statewide televised debate and a series of hard-hitting attack ads focusing primarily on Kaine's position on the death penalty and taxes. In almost all their attack ads, the Kilgore campaign has labeled Tim Kaine too liberal to lead the Commonwealth.

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http://www.wsls.com/servlet/Satellite?pagename=WSLS/MGArticle/SLS_BasicArticle&c=MGArticle&cid=1128767593024&path=!news!elections!

[Kolesar]

1. How good is SurveyUSA as a polling company?

You gotta watch these details.

[jefferson_dem]

2. non-partisan and respectable polling firm.

This is *really* good news.

[Kolesar]

5. thanks ... eom

[AlCzervik]

3. i dont know but Kaine should run like he's 10 points behind

Kilgore is a nutjob.

[MrModerate]

4. Been watching this one from my new home in Maryland . . .

It does seem if the negative ads are turning on Kilgore -- also the fact that Kaine has come back stern but not vicious. The decency factor might be in play here.

[northzax]

6. in DC, at least

I have not seen on positive ad from Kilgore (and only one from Kaine) I have no idea what Kilgore stands for, except more executions of black people and immigrants who kill white folks.

[bhunt70]

7. My dad noticed the same...every republican add run on fear and negativity

While Tim Kaine talks about what he's going to do.

I really hope Kaine wins, I love Virginia.

[Doremus]

8. I hope the momentum keeps going.

Does Va. use any Diebold or ES&S equipment?

Gotta have enough margin to offset the "tweaked" votes...

[alcibiades_mystery]

9. Was the Hitler ad over the top?

One wonders...:eyes:

[wakeme2008]

10. If you are in Va like me :)

Allllll Kilgore's ad only want to talk about is Kaine would not execute Hilter. That is getting OLD... Nothing about his "vision" for Va.

[MiniMe]

11. I listened to part of the debate they had.

It was shown locally. Kilgore had absolutely nothing, and I mean nothing to say. He sounded like the total idiot he is, the only thing he did was attack Kaine on the things that have been proven not to be true. Kaine on the other hand, sounded very good, had a lot of good ideas, and was very positive in his message. Unfortunately, outside of the DC area and Richmond, Virginia is very rural. If fact, Virginia may be the purplest state in the union.

[fasttense]

12. Sounds like brush and Kerry in 2004 all over again.

The repukes will "fix" it at the polls.

[lanlady]

13. great news! this makes my day

I've been getting nastygrams from the Kilgore campaign in my mailbox twice a week. I don't know why this street has received nothing from Kaine. But I do think Kilgore has hurt himself; people are tired of the same old liberal baiting.

KEEP VIRGINIA SANE WITH KAINE!