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villager Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-16-06 09:14 PM
Original message
Iran breakthrough may be in sight
Iran breakthrough may be in sight

FRASER NELSON POLITICAL EDITOR

Key points
• Russia moves towards US and European stance on Iran; China silent
• Iranian ambassador welcomes offer to move nuclear programme to Russia
• Atomic agency chief says Iran could acquire nuclear weapon this year

Key quote
"If they have the nuclear material and they have a parallel weaponisation programme along the way, they are really not very far - a few months - from a weapon" - Mohamed ElBaradei, head of the International Atomic Energy Agency

Story in full:

A POTENTIAL breakthrough in the nuclear stand-off with Iran came last night when the Iranian ambassador in Moscow praised a proposal to move Tehran's uranium enrichment programme to Russia.
As Britain, the United States, Russia, France and China met in London yesterday to discuss how to handle Iran's illegal nuclear development, the country was facing the growing certainty that it would be referred to the UN Security Council.

While China remained resolutely silent on the possibility of sanctions - a move which it has the power to veto - Russia made significant moves towards the western stance on Iran's nuclear programme.

Vladimir Putin, the Russian president, said last night that his position is "very close" to that of the United States and Britain. And it appeared that he could hold the key to a resolution when Iran's ambassador to Russia, Gholamreza Ansari, welcomed an offer to move the Iranian uranium enrichment programme to Russia.

Such a move would mean Iran, which is developing a missile which could reach Israel, could not acquire enough material for a bomb.

<snip>


http://news.scotsman.com/index.cfm?id=76282006
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bananas Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-16-06 09:17 PM
Response to Original message
1. Bush wants regime change in Iran, so we will bomb anyway. nt
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villager Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-16-06 09:20 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. not if the nuclear work is publicly moved to Russia...
n/t
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bananas Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-16-06 09:42 PM
Response to Reply #3
7. I hate to be so cynical
but no matter how cynical I get, this bunch always surprises me.
Powell made a very convincing presentation to the U.N. proving that Iraq was hiding WMDs. It was total bullshit. Condi will do the same thing. It doesn't matter what Iraq is doing publicly - it is what they are hiding, and we have the fake satellite photos to prove it!
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villager Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-16-06 09:49 PM
Response to Reply #7
8. yes, but can they get away with it twice?
Not to America -- the country is chockablock with gullible buffoons -- but I mean, to the world at large?
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bananas Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-16-06 10:29 PM
Response to Reply #8
9. I guess we'll find out.
There will be a lot of protests and anger over it by people around the world, but there isn't anything any other country can really do to stop it from happening (except maybe China economically, but that would hurt them too because our economies are so tied together right now).

Try looking at it from the perspective of Bush, Cheney, Rumsfeld. Iraq was a success. The economy is good. There's no reason not to.

My concern is there won't be any warning - they'll do it without any UM approval, like Israel did to the Iraqi nuclear power plant. We'll wake up one morning to news that we used nuclear bunker-busters to destroy a number of targets scattered around Iran.
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leveymg Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-17-06 09:03 AM
Response to Reply #9
17. I don't think so. There are 350 nuclear-related sites in Iran
Edited on Tue Jan-17-06 09:10 AM by leveymg
Osirik was a single target, and the Israelis used only eight F-16s. An attempt to destroy Iran's nuclear infrastructure would require a massive build-up of aircraft and ordinance -- no way to keep an operation of that size secret.

No, if they really want to do this, it will be after months of propaganda and logistical preparation.

http://debka.com/article.php?aid=940
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Nomen Tuum Donating Member (396 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-17-06 05:42 AM
Response to Reply #8
15. Yes
since millions of the masses only watch Fox News or Jesus TV. They will believe whatever Bush says.
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Massacure Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-16-06 10:42 PM
Response to Reply #7
11. I wouldn't call the satellite photos fake.
Edited on Mon Jan-16-06 10:43 PM by Massacure
They were photos of a trailer in the desert. Who knows what was in them. Maybe WMD was a purposeful lie, maybe it was carelessness. Who knows. Until someone steps up to the plate and releases documents we will never know. This is why it is important to elect Democrats in 2006.
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stillcool Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-16-06 09:19 PM
Response to Original message
2. It's all in the cards...
and somebody is always bluffing...
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BlueManDude Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-16-06 09:24 PM
Response to Original message
4. Bush will find a way to isolate the US
didn't the RWers used to hate ElBaradei beacuse he was debunking the WMD in Iraq prior to the occupation?
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lovuian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-16-06 09:25 PM
Response to Original message
5. Well Russia is close but China is a whole different
equation...
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Cessna Invesco Palin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-17-06 05:17 AM
Response to Reply #5
13. Since China only has an opinion on this matter...
...because Iran is an energy partner, China will seek whatever option has the best chance of keeping the oil flowing. They appear to be waiting for Iran to make the next move.
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ConcernedCanuk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-16-06 09:42 PM
Response to Original message
6. WTF is the USA so concerned about Iran getting one or two nukes
.
.
.

When the USA has thousands of them ?

OH!

Iran has oil

silly me

:silly:

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IndianaGreen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-16-06 10:33 PM
Response to Reply #6
10. Nukes are a deterrent to US invasion
I advise all nations of the world to buy nukes in the black market and then let the world know that if they are attacked, they will retaliate with nukes.

MAD as a policy did prevent war between US and USSR, so why not use son of MAD to prevent Bush from attacking other countries?
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Cessna Invesco Palin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-17-06 05:18 AM
Response to Reply #6
14. Well, there's that.
And there's also Iran's stated goal of destroying Israel, Iran's links to terrorism (which actually exist, unlike Iraq's,) and the bad precedent it sets for other batshit crazy theocracies.
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EuroObserver Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-17-06 03:36 AM
Response to Original message
12. Propaganda!
"Mohamed ElBaradei, head of the IAEA, said in a magazine interview that Iran could acquire a nuclear weapon later this year.

""If they have the nuclear material and they have a parallel weaponisation programme along the way, they are really not very far - a few months - from a weapon," he told Newsweek."

This seems to be twisting ElBaradei's words (if, and if - that is, if and when, and if and when); this is certainly not what ElBaradei said in an interview with Spain's El País just a week or two ago.

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HuffleClaw Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-17-06 06:07 AM
Response to Original message
16. "IF they have..."
IS NOT 'they HAVE'

and china is not very likely to go along with this. i'm surprised russia is playing along.
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no_hypocrisy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-17-06 09:13 AM
Response to Original message
18. They omitted the critical issue: Iran selling oil in dollars, not euros.
With the March 20, 2006 oil bourse, Iran will devalue the American dollar. That screws up our massive deficit (for which I believe Congress will raise the ceiling in February), interest rates, real estate values, taxes, inflation, not to mention the money in your bank being much lighter than when you deposited it.

It's not "nukular"; it's $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$.
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IDemo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-17-06 09:18 AM
Response to Reply #18
19. Bingo! I meant, Ding Ding Ding!
Mandatory reading on the topic from Energy Bulletin: http://www.energybulletin.net/12125.html
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Media_Lies_Daily Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-17-06 09:58 AM
Response to Original message
20. Major pile of bull.
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