|
Dow 12,011.73 Up 19.05 (0.16%) Nasdaq 2,340.94 Up 3.79 (0.16%) S&P 500 1,366.96 Up 1.00 (0.07%) 10-Yr Bond 4.7860% Up 0.0220 NYSE Volume 2,652,447,000 Nasdaq Volume 2,027,755,000
4:20 pm : For the second session in a row the Dow eclipsed the 12,000 level, but unlike yesterday, optimism on the earnings front fueled by another batch of better than expected reports was enough to close the blue chip index above its latest milestone. However, with a 13th consecutive quarter of double-digit profit growth having already been priced into stocks, coupled with the cautious tone that typically accompanies the start of earnings season, market gains were minimal.
A 1.5% rebound in oil prices was among the most noticeable excuses for taking some money off the table and preventing a more convincing rally in equities. After closing at their second lowest level this year, Saudi Arabia backing OPEC's first expected production cut in two years helped oil prices rebound to finish at $58.50/bbl.
While higher oil improved the Energy sector's prospects of generating strong profit growth, investors still had to contend with the absence of leadership from two of the most influential S&P 500 sectors -- Financials and Industrials -- and didn't get upside support from Technology until the closing minutes of trade.
Technology has been a focal point all week and was under the microscope well before the opening bell sounded. Last night, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD 21.57 -2.66) topped Wall Street forecasts but posted a significant decline in margins, which weighed on semiconductors all day. Fortunately for the bulls, all was not lost since Apple Computer (AAPL 78.81 +4.28) posting a 27% year/year rise in Q4 earnings played into our Overweight rating on Tech. A 6.7% drubbing on Dell (DELL 23.05 -1.65) was the sector's biggest blemish but that was the direct result of market erosion tied to Apple's record-setting Mac sales and a report showing that Hewlett-Packard (HPQ 39.59 +0.58) passed Dell as the leader in global PC shipments.
With regard to Financials, a Q3 earnings miss from the third most heavily weighted S&P 500 constituent -- Citigroup (C 49.74 -0.45) -- provided investors with a reason to lock in some of the sector's recent gains. Washington Mutual (WM 42.31 -1.40) badly missing expectations due to continued net interest margin compression from an inverted yield curve and further deterioration in Treasuries that lifted bond yields across the curve also prompted some consolidation.
The Industrials sector was in focus after Honeywell (HON 41.58 -1.05) beat expectations for a fifth straight quarter. However, a warning that a slower global economy could limit next year's growth left Honeywell as the day's worst performing Dow component (-2.5%). That in turn overshadowed a better than expected Q3 report from United Parcel Service (UPS 75.25 +2.84), which, as a bellwether of U.S. economic activity, supported our Moderately Bullish market view with a claim that it expects "solid" Q4 holiday sales.DJ30 +19.05 DJTA +1.6% DJUA +0.5% DOT +1.1% NASDAQ +3.79 NQ100 +0.3% R2K +0.5% SOX -0.4% SP400 +0.5% SP500 +0.94 XOI +1.8% NASDAQ Dec/Adv/Vol 1277/1757/1.96 bln NYSE Dec/Adv/Vol 1301/1959/1.58 bln
3:30 pm : Stocks continue to trade sideways going into the close with the Dow struggling to hold onto the smallest of gains. Of the six economic sectors still trading higher, Energy and Telecom pace the way to the upside; however as impressive as their 1.5% gains may be, profit taking to the tune of 0.9% in the more influential Financials sector is countering their outperformance. The sector's worst performing industry group continues to be Thrifts & Mortgage (-2.3%) after Washington Mutual (WM 42.04 -1.67) badly missed expectations due to continued net interest margin compression from an inverted yield curve.DJ30 +5.25 NASDAQ -0.15 SP500 -0.12 NASDAQ Dec/Adv/Vol 1323/1688/1.63 bln NYSE Dec/Adv/Vol 1342/1874/1.31 bln
3:00 pm : Not much excitement to speak of in the market at this point as the major indices still trade close to unchanged. Today's flat showing, however, is not all that unusual since the market is often cautious early in earnings season. Not to mention, today's action, as lackluster as it may seem, continues to speak volumes about the market's underlying bullish tone, even in the face of rising oil prices and bond yields. Oil recently closed up 1.5% near $58.50/bbl while the 10-year note is down 7 ticks to yield 4.78%. DJ30 +12.73 NASDAQ +0.52 SP500 -0.10 NASDAQ Dec/Adv/Vol 1299/1696/1.51 bln NYSE Dec/Adv/Vol 1333/1861/1.20 bln
2:30 pm : Range-bound trading persists as the market continues to show little conviction on either the bullish or bearish side of the aisle. It is worth noting, though, that while it appears to be a rather quiet day, 14 of 30 Dow components are trading either up or down at least 1.0%. Helping the price-weighted index hold onto just enough of a gain to stay above 12,000 are T (+2.6%), GM (+2.5%), KO (+2.2%), MO (+1.9%), VZ (+1.6%), HPQ (+1.2%), MMM (+1.2%), and XOM (+1.1%). Notable laggards include C (-1.3%), HON (-2.4%), JPM (-1.0%), MCD (-1.7%), MSFT (-1.3%) and UTX (-1.0%).DJ30 +11.89 NASDAQ -1.82 SP500 -0.69 NASDAQ Dec/Adv/Vol 1334/1641/1.39 bln NYSE Dec/Adv/Vol 1385/1783/1.09 bln
|