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Dow 12,002.37 9.36 (0.08%) Nasdaq 2,342.30 1.36 (0.06%) S&P 500 1,368.60 1.64 (0.12%) 10-Yr Bond 4.784% 0.002
NYSE Volume 2,594,025,000 Nasdaq Volume 1,932,134,000
With the Dow closing at a new record for the ninth time in two weeks, it wasn't surprising to see blue chips look fatigued throughout most of the session Friday.
What did surprise Wall Street, though, was an earnings miss from one of the average's best performers. Caterpillar (CAT 59.40 -9.62) had its worst day since the market crash on October 19, 1987, plunging 14% after taking its Q3 misfortune a step further by reducing its full-year EPS guidance and providing 2007 forecasts significantly lower than analysts' estimates.
While IBM (IBM 90.51 +0.65) was largely responsible for lifting the Dow past 12,000 two days ago, Caterpillar was largely responsible for erecting a wall of worry that left the Dow struggling to close above its latest milestone. Caterpillar's sell-off had a 77-point negative impact on the index. Fortunately for the bulls still confident that the S&P index will rise at an even faster pace than earnings growth, Google (GOOG 459.70 +33.64) handily beat expectations for the eighth time in nine tries since going public.
As the fourth most influential component on the Nasdaq, Google's 8% advance eventually overshadowed declines in SanDisk (SNDK 49.14 -12.58) and Broadcom (BRCM 27.51 -1.46) and helped the tech-heavy Composite eke out a gain. SanDisk was the day's worst performing S&P 500 component, tumbling 20% after a larger than expected drop in average selling prices for its flash chips contributed to a 4% year/year decline in Q3 profits. Broadcom sold off after it lowered Q4 sales forecasts.
When it was all said and done, Google's report, coupled with better than expected Q3 earnings from Dow components 3M Co. (MMM 78.33 +1.93) and Merck (MRK 45.54 +1.05), lent some additional validation to the market's underlying bullish tone that has let stocks run virtually unabated since bottoming out in mid July.
Oil prices closing at their lowest levels of the year provided some additional reassurance. Crude for November delivery closed down 2.9% at $56.82/bbl as traders priced in some uncertainty as to whether OPEC members will abide by their plans to cut production by 1.2 mln barrels a day. However, with the November contract expiring today, there was more open interest in the December contract, which was off 1.9% at $59.35/bbl. DJ30 -9.36 NASDAQ +1.36 SP500 +1.64 NASDAQ Dec/Adv/Vol 1823/1204/1.91 bln NYSE Dec/Adv/Vol 1776/1446/1.61 bln
3:30 pm : Slowly but surely, the Dow within the last 10 minutes inched back into positive territory for the first time this afternoon, again sidelining traders trying to fight the upward trend in equities. Albeit short-lived, as the index has since pulled back below the flat line, the Dow is still above 12,000 and on pace to record its fourth straight weekly gain as earnings on the whole remain solid. To recap, 10 of the 13 Dow components posting results this week beat expectations (e.g. JNJ, UTX, IBM, INTC, JPM, KO, HON, PFE, MRK, MMM). Only two missed (e.g. C, CAT) and one company -- McDonald's (MCD 41.36 +0.59) -- was in line; but analysts' estimates were raised after it guided Q3 earnings above consensus last week. DJ30 -1.92 NASDAQ +1.15 SP500 +1.30 NASDAQ Dec/Adv/Vol 1880/1140/1.56 bln NYSE Dec/Adv/Vol 1838/1372/1.30 bln
3:00 pm : Indices continue to run in place just below the flat line with few catalysts to get buying efforts back on track. While that may leave some market bulls heading into the weekend hanging their head, today's flat showing is not all that unusual since the market is often cautious early in earnings season and some fatigue was bound to set in following three consecutive weeks of solid gains. DJ30 -12.15 NASDAQ -1.99 SP500 -0.24 NASDAQ Dec/Adv/Vol 1896/1095/1.44 bln NYSE Dec/Adv/Vol 1887/1314/1.20 bln
Have a great weekend, all! :hi:
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