Data showing the rebels were local residents with deep grievances contradicted the Bush administration view of them, and warnings were largely ignored.
By Warren P. Strobel and Jonathan S. Landay
Knight-Ridder Newspapers
Article Last Updated:03/01/2006 03:31:38 AM MST
Washington - U.S. intelligence agencies repeatedly warned the White House beginning more than two years ago that the insurgency in Iraq had deep local roots, was likely to worsen and could lead to civil war, according to former senior intelligence officials who helped craft the reports.
Among the warnings was a major study completed in October 2003 that concluded that the insurgency was fueled by local conditions - not foreign terrorists - and drew strength from deep grievances, including the presence of U.S. troops.
The existence of the secret document, the subject of a bitter three-month debate among U.S. intelligence agencies, has not been previously disclosed to a wide public audience ...
Wayne White, a veteran State Department intelligence analyst, wrote recently that when it became clear that the 2003 report would forecast grim prospects for tamping down the insurgency, a senior official "exclaimed rhetorically, 'How can I take this upstairs ...?"'
http://www.denverpost.com/nationworld/ci_3556210