http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/15497989/The final pre-election NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll suggests that Democrats continue to have a significant advantage heading into the midterms that take place exactly one week from Tuesday.
They hold a 15-point lead — tied for the largest ever in the survey — over Republicans in voters' preference for control of Congress. President George W. Bush's approval rating remains mired below 40 percent. And more than 60 percent feel less confident that the war in Iraq will come to a successful conclusion, the largest number ever on that question.
"The basic dynamic for the 2006 campaign remains in place," says Democratic pollster Peter D. Hart, who conducted this survey with Republican Bill McInturff. "The Democrats continue to lead in this election."
Good news for Bush
That said, the poll also shows a slight uptick — although within the margin of error — on Bush's approval ratings from the previous NBC/Journal survey taken two weeks ago, indicating that the worst could be over for Republicans after the Mark Foley page scandal and further violence in Iraq.
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Also in the poll, which was taken of 1,010 registered voters from Oct. 28-30 and which has a margin of error of plus-minus 3.1 percentage points, President Bush's job approval rating is at 39 percent — a one-point increase from the previous poll. And after a period of declining gasoline prices and gains in the stock market, approval of his handling of the economy has risen two points to 46 percent.
One friggin' point is good news for Chimpy! Aaaargh!