Democrats Would Choose Dean Over Kerry If the Election Were Held Today

[tritsofme]

Fri Jan 02 2004 16:46:17 ET

New York – Asked to vote for a Democratic presidential nominee if the election were held today, twice as many registered Democrats would choose Vermont Gov. Howard Dean (22%) over Mass. Sen. John Kerry (10%) -- or over Conn. Sen. Joseph Lieberman (9%) or Retired Gen. Wesley Clark (8%), according to a new TIME/CNN Poll.

If Dean did NOT run for the nomination, 14 percent of Democrats would choose Kerry, 13% Clark,12% Lieberman, and 10% Missouri Congressman Dick Gephardt.

In direct matchups today against President George W. Bush in 2004, likely voters would choose


Bush over Dean 51% to 46%,

Bush over Lieberman 52% to 46%,

Bush over Kerry 54% to 43%,

Bush over Gephardt 53% to 44%,

Bush over Clark 53% to 43%,

Bush over North Carolina Sen. John Edwards 53% to 43%.

More findings:


Only 1-in-4 (25%) are paying "very close" attention to the 2004 presidential election right now. Another 22 percent are paying "fairly close" attention, and 25 percent are paying "some" attention, while 17 percent are paying "just a little" attention.


Things are going well in the country, say 65 percent (up from 53% Nov. 18-19).

The TIME/CNN Poll, conducted on Dec. 30 and Jan. 1, 2003 and 2004 by HarrisInteractive, surveyed 1,004 adult Americans age 18 or older, including 399 registered voters who describe themselves as Democrats or leaners, by telephone. The overall margin of error is +/- 3.1% pts; the margin for Democrats with leaners is +/-4.9%.



http://drudgereport.com/flash.htm

[HereSince1628]

1. I trust no poll that has Lieberman doing that well

It could be my personal flaw, but I just ain't buying it...

[tritsofme]

2. Its called name recognition.

In area that gets to know him better, like specific polls from the early primary states, he goes down and fast.

[unfrigginreal]

3. You could say the same of Kerry

;)

[tritsofme]

4. I saw a new poll from Iowa today

that actually had Kerry on Gephardt's tail, with Dean pulling ahead.

*edited to say: 500 posts! woohoo

[goforit]

5. Kerry on Gephardts tail??.They see thru.Gephardt's mud slinging.

Oh well.

[blm]

6. Nope...most people don't even know who Kerry is

and they cannot remember about BCCI and IranContra or anything about his role in exposing more government corruption than any other lawmaker in modern history.

That's why Dean's supporters have been able to convince so many young people that Kerry is a "corrupt Washington insider" as part of their whisper campaign against him. Sad. Deceitful. Dean.

[mouse7]

7. This poll is awful good for Dems as a whole if true

I gotta be honest, though. It's awful far outside the results being shown by the other national polls.

I look for where and when the results "bunch up." I never trust one poll. I wait till all the polls start showing the same thing. This poll doesn't reflect the others.

I said that CBS poll was skewed. This one doesn't look right, either. I hope it is, but I can't put much faith in it.

[salin]

9. Agreed - most folks aren't even paying attention yet... and Bush has #s

that are this close? Very positive for the democratic nominee whoever he (or she) might be.

[tritsofme]

8. kick