More from the White-wing article...
Over half of voters in California's 4th Congressional District have an unfavorable opinion of John Doolittle, and in a new survey, he gets trounced by a Democrat next November. Thus Doolittle has the challenge of his political life -- proving to his party that he is the right standard bearer to keep the seat in GOP hands... <snip>
DOOLITTLE'S CHALLENGERS - THE GAINES CANDIDACY
Until just a few days ago, Doolittle was looking at two relatively unknown primary challengers -- a councilman from the city of Auburn by the name of Mike Holmes, a self-described moderate, and Iraq War veteran Eric Egland, a conservative who claims to have raised over $100,000 in his bid. As of last Thursday, however, the primary field has become a lot more crowded with the entry of popular conservative Assemblyman Ted Gaines. Gaines brings a lot more to the table in terms of fundraising ability, and name I.D. The freshman legislator served for many years as a member of the Placer County Board of Supervisors.
I caught up to Gaines, and asked him why he was forming an exploratory committee looking at the 4th CD, and he told me,
"John Doolittle creates a problem for our party in terms of being victorious and keeping a seat in 2008. Even if he wins the primary, I think it will be very difficult for him to win the seat in November."Gaines went on to express his concerns about a Democrat getting elected, "I am concerned about losing the seat to a Nancy Pelosi clone like Charlie Brown. This is a conservative seat, and it should be represented by a Conservative."
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It remains to be seen whether Congressman Doolittle will be able to mount a successful defense against his primary challenges -- especially the considerable threat posed to him by the very able Assemblyman Gaines. But the bigger question in the minds of everyone I talk to is whether Congressman Doolittle can demonstrate sooner than later that he can win a general election battle, without a speedy and quick end to this federal probe (I worked in law enforcement for many years, and have never found the Feds to be speedy about anything they do). Unfortunately for Congressman Doolittle, he is caught up in a terrible situation. Voters, and especially Republican voters, are more cynical now than ever. Thanks to Duke Cunningham, Tom Delay, Mark Foley, Bob Ney, William Jefferson, Larry Craig and so forth, even the perception of impropriety can erect an unassailable barrier to re-election.
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