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bluestateguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 07:00 PM
Original message
CNN: OBAMA WINS VIRGINIA
Edited on Tue Feb-12-08 07:06 PM by bluestateguy
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LisaM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 07:01 PM
Response to Original message
1. How can he win the second the polls close?
I never heard of that.
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Kahuna Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 07:03 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. 33% of the Dem primary was repukes and indies... Impressive. nt
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LisaM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 07:07 PM
Response to Reply #2
5. I'm not sure what I think about that.
On the one hand, it could be good, if they are just fed up with their own party and seeking something more progressive.

Or, it could mean that Obama has qualities or positions that appeal to Republicans.

Or, maybe a little bit of both....
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CANDO Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 07:17 PM
Response to Reply #5
10. There's not much difference between either Dem. Candidate on the issues.
It must be Obama is more inspirational. With Hillary's negatives so high(not her fault), the only way she wins is by the Rovian %50 + 1 vote method. That will not get it done in Nov. Americans are tired of that kind of politics. The ones crossing over for Obama are doing so because he has ran as the uniter rather than the divider. They feel comfortable voting for him. Thom Hartmann quoted a study explaining %93 of all voters choose based upon emotions rather than logic. Hence if people feel good about a candidate, they overlook some policy stands.
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LisaM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 07:39 PM
Response to Reply #10
14. I agree with some of what you say
But I still think that Obama is projecting something that Republicans have a comfort level with.

I see Hillary as slightly more progressive, even though I think they are close.
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Neurotica Donating Member (412 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:28 PM
Response to Reply #5
19. You don't have to register by party to vote in VA
You can just register.

There are many people who don't bother to register with the Democratic party who vote Democratic virtually all the time.

I think you have to take this into account when considering the impact of "independents" in VA.

The Republican crossover count is significant. I've heard anecdotal stories from friends and neighbors who are "Republican" but voted for Obama.
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brooklynite Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 07:05 PM
Response to Reply #1
4. Based on analysis of exit polls...
which were reporting a 3:1 trend for Obama
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osaMABUSh Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 09:10 PM
Response to Reply #1
20. Ever heard of exit polling?
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pepperbear Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 07:05 PM
Response to Original message
3. it's on their homepage. n/t
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Hissyspit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 07:13 PM
Response to Original message
6. NBC News: Obama projected to beat Clinton in Virginia
Edited on Tue Feb-12-08 07:05 PM by Hissyspit
Source: NBC News

Obama projected to beat Clinton in Virginia

WASHINGTON - Sen. Barack Obama was projected to add to his string of recent victories with a substantial triumph over Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton in Virginia’s Democratic presidential primary, NBC News reported Tuesday.

In the Republican primary, NBC said the race between Sen. John McCain and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee was too close to call.

Voters in Maryland and the District of Columbia also were going to the polls Tuesday.

Read more: http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/23123924


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Hissyspit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 07:13 PM
Response to Reply #6
7. Race between McCain, Huckabee is too close to call, NBC News says
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Hissyspit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 07:13 PM
Response to Reply #6
8. "Substantial" lead by Obama: Olbermann n/t
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StClone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 07:13 PM
Response to Reply #6
9. What an Obamanation!
Go B.O. go!
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SCRUBDASHRUB Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 07:17 PM
Response to Reply #9
11. :)
P.S. Thanks to whomever gave me a heart. :)
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Purveyor Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 07:21 PM
Response to Original message
12. ANALYSIS: In Virginia, White Men Boost Obama
--snip--
Barack Obama rode majority support from white men to an easy victory in the Democratic contest, extending his recent run.

--snip--

In the Democratic contest in Virginia, preliminary exit poll results indicated that Obama not only won 9 in 10 African-Americans, but split white voters with Hillary Clinton. That came on the strength of his support from white men, who favored him by more than a 10-point margin. Obama has won or tied Clinton among white men in 12 previous contests for which we have exit poll results, and in seven of them, won the race. (The four he lost include California and Arizona, where Hispanics made the difference for Clinton. In Virginia, Hispanic voters were far fewer in number.)

Blacks accounted for nearly three in 10 voters in Virginia, perhaps slightly down from their 33 percent share in 2004 it'll take final exit poll data to say for sure. Obama's support from African-Americans in the state was at or near his highest in any primary this year.

Obama also was helped by independents, who made up a fifth of voters in Virginia's open primary. Clinton won white Democrats by nearly a 20-point margin, but white independents went even more broadly to Obama.


And as elsewhere the "change" theme was powerful for Obama: More than half of Democratic voters in Virginia said the top attribute they were seeking in a candidate is the one who can "bring needed change," and those "change" voters favored Obama by a 5-1 margin. He also won the two in 10 voters most concerned either with empathy – "cares about people like me" – or electability in November, by 2-1 margins. He's won voters most concerned with electability by this kind of margin just once before - in his home state of Illinois.

---eoe---

http://abcnews.go.com/PollingUnit/Vote2008/Story?id=4280392&page=2
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ileus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 07:28 PM
Response to Original message
13. If we keep this up Hillary won't win this November...
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PassingFair Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 07:50 PM
Response to Original message
15. Well, that's it.
The nomination is his to lose.

Watch out for the MEDIA now.
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Divine Discontent Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 07:57 PM
Response to Original message
16. I'd put him at 80% after tonight
and Hillary's chances are getting smaller and smaller... I wouldn't be shocked if she bowed out, but she won't because big wins in Texas and Ohio can at least make this competitive, but the MO is so obviously on BO's side as he plows through a string of 10 potential wins in a row!
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skooooo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:04 PM
Response to Reply #16
18. 80% of what?

You mean his chances of getting the nomination overall, or ?
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atomic-fly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 07:58 PM
Response to Original message
17. Got my vote
Of course several people assumed I was a Republican at the polling place.
First, the lady working there, then a guy walking out to the lot.

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