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Edited on Mon Mar-10-08 09:47 PM by marekjed
goes somewhat like this.
When the media first broke the story in Poland, under two years ago, a lot of people loved the idea. There is plenty of history behind us that has taught us Poles not to put much trust in European alliances. (Not the right policy today, I think, but it's deeply ingrained.) On the other hand, for whatever reasons the US has always been the promised land, for many intellectuals and working-class people alike (and, I might add, it's not because of the Bill of Rights or similar niceties). "We" love Ronald Raygun, "we" despise Carter, "we" absolutely adore Zbigniew Brzezinski, go figure. So "we" loved the missile defense shield, since it was billed as the US giving Poland a gift of protection, FREE! They said the shield would protect us against Iran, and it worked for a while, with few voices of reason dissenting.
But those voices persisted, and meanwhile everybody who's so much as ever wiped his ass with a newspaper has had plenty of time to figure out how well Iraq is going. The F-16s Poland bought (much to the chagrin of the French) have become the laughingstock of the nation, they're lemons, did Lockheed Martin move their assembly lines to Korea? Then we've seen the US reneging on the contractual obligations re investment and "technology transfer" (part of the F-16 contract), and so it went.
Meanwhile still, we had a heavily right-wing, Bush-lite government for two years, an embarrassment of ungodly proportions, and kicked them out last fall. You might remember the awful twins. (One of them is still our president, with 3 years to go, but has relatively little power. He loves the shield but doesn't speak any English - there is a God!) This in itself is a long story, but one of the bits of propaganda they kept spewing endlessly was how previous Polish governments had talked to foreign powers "on their knees", or "on all fours", or "prostrated themselves" before West European governments, or were "Soviet agents", and I could go on.
Now, whether or not there was any truth to that at all, it became ridiculously obvious that while that very government played hard to get within the EU, they were on their knees, or - on a good day - lay prostrate before Bush. Anything Bush said or wanted would be accepted and delivered unconditionally. Three bags full, sir! Most people could see that little hypocrisy right there.
The missile defense negotiations went on in complete secrecy, but if one thing seemed clear it was that the government was accepting the shield on US terms all the way. It looked like no conditions whatsoever were being made on the deployment of the shield. So by then a lot of people and much of the media smelled the... um, the elephant in the room I guess, and finally dared talk about the elephant's trunk wiggling its way up our collective ass. One of the most outspoken was a guy called Roman Kuzniar, a foreign policy advisor and chair of the Polish Institute for International Affairs. He got relieved from this particular duty by our then-PM right after he penned a report highly critical of the shield. I don't know if he had a wife in an intelligence agency, but a Joe Wilson comparison is not all out of place.
That government of ours is, thankfully, history, though they keep the venom flowing in the parliament. The new government realizes that the clear majority of voters do not want the shield (some 60% in recent polls, IIRC). They're still right-wing, but they're not fundamentalist and they listen to reason (sometimes, maybe).
Officially the policy is, now we are negotiating for real, and since the shield puts us in some danger, we are asking Bush to compensate us for that by providing additional weaponry - presumably to be used against a hypothetical enemy who would attack us for having the shield in the first place - ain't that brilliant?
Off the record, unnamed US negotiators have expressed shock at hearing any demands, since it was a new thing to them. Quoting from memory and back-translating to English, a guy said "Before, whatever we asked Poland for, Poland said yes before we finished the sentence. Not any more".
Of all the false, half-false and utterly absurd arguments in favor of the shield, it seems that only one has persisted in the official circles: if we invite the US to construct the shield on our land, it will be in the interest of the US to protect the shield. Therefore, if we get bullied by Russia, we'll run to Uncle Sam and tell him Russia is looking crooked at your SHIE-IELD and even swinging her FOOT at it!! If you still think this is a dumb way to get security, you are right, but please know that at this point at least no-one here believes the shield is meant to protect us from Iran, because even the media have mostly figured out by now that Iran is not a threat. So we're only half as dumb as we were two years ago.
It is also possible - at least I hope so - that they are stalling the negotiations, playing for time. I do hope that either your Congress is going to kill the funding, or that the next president, not the one that serenades about bombing Iran mind you, is going to put the thing on the backburner.
Now please someone ask the Czech people what's wrong with THEM, since they've all but signed on the dotted line for the radar part of the shield already, and they demand nothing in return, much like the previous Polish government didn't. Now the Czech PM is looking at Poland as if we were the crazy ones!
Or maybe we are. Maybe those people know something we don't. After all, we Poles have at least one reason to really, really be thankful to the US, and I'm dead serious. We may well be the only country in the whole sweet world you guys (excuse my generalization) have actually helped(*) without bombing us before, during, or after the process. And for that, I am thankful. Now if a critical mass of people in the US would also figure out that Iran is not a threat, and convinced your presidential nominees-to-be that they are really, really safe from Iranian nucular missiles, well then at least you would spare yourselves the expense and spare us Russia's swinging foot.
(*) Some people will dispute whether "shock therapy" and a squad of professors from the Chicago School of Economics constitute "help", but that's just those niggling doubts they nurse. You didn't bomb us and we thank you, even if it looks like the whole anti-missile shield gizmo thing is designed to rectify that undeserved exclusion.
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