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Hillary Drops Back - A new Newsweek poll shows Obama pulling away

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swag Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 04:34 PM
Original message
Hillary Drops Back - A new Newsweek poll shows Obama pulling away
Source: Newsweek

Despite her campaign's relentless attacks on Barack Obama's qualifications and electability, Hillary Clinton has lost a lot of ground with Democratic voters nationwide going into Tuesday's critical primary in Pennsylvania, a new NEWSWEEK poll shows.

The survey of 1,209 registered voters found that Obama now leads Clinton by nearly 20 points, or 54 percent to 35 percent, among registered Democrats and those who lean Democratic nationwide. The previous Newsweek poll, conducted in March after Clinton's big primary wins in Ohio and Texas, showed the two Democrats locked in a statistical tie (45 percent for Obama to 44 percent for Clinton). The new poll puts Obama ahead among women as well as men, and voters aged 60 and older as well as younger voters. (For the complete poll data, click here).

One of the more devastating results for Clinton was that a majority of all registered voters now see her as dishonest and untrustworthy. According to the poll, just four in 10 (41 percent) registered voters view the New York senator as honest and trustworthy, while 51 percent think the opposite. This compares with solid majorities of voters who see Obama and McCain as honest and trustworthy (both polled 61 percent).

The results suggest that Clinton was damaged more by being caught in a tall tale about landing in Bosnia under sniper fire than Obama has been by his recent controversies, including the firestorm of criticism provoked by the Illinois senator's remarks that blue-collar voters "cling" to religion, guns and other issues because of their bitterness. In addition, over half (53 percent) of voters say they believe Obama shares their values, more than those who say the same thing about Clinton (47 percent) or McCain (45 percent).



Read more: http://www.newsweek.com/id/132721?from=rss
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bluestateguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 04:37 PM
Response to Original message
1. And he leads McCain by 4 in the real election
And, to be fair, so does Hillary.
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TheWraith Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 06:39 PM
Response to Reply #1
12. That'll change once people start paying attention.
Right now Senator Strangelove's getting a free pass because most people aren't in general election mode.
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Sarah Ibarruri Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 07:15 PM
Response to Reply #12
13. Why do you think that will happen? nt
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dbmk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 08:17 PM
Response to Reply #13
21. First of all there is such a thing as a nomination bump.
Whoever the democratic nominee is will see a bump in the national polls when it is finally confirmed who it is.

And secondly, as long as that is not done, there is almost no juxtaposition of the message from the two parties. Sure there is some comparison going on. But its drowning in the internal democratic figthing atm.

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berni_mccoy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 07:30 PM
Response to Reply #12
14. People *have* been paying attention. This is why Obama is pulling away.
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TheWraith Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-19-08 11:04 AM
Response to Reply #14
34. I meant nobody is paying attention to the general election, or McCain.
That's why he's not sinking yet.
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yellowcanine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 07:33 PM
Response to Reply #12
15. Who is "Senator Strangelove" - McCain?
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TheWraith Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-19-08 11:03 AM
Response to Reply #15
33. Precisely. nt
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EV_Ares Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 08:25 PM
Response to Reply #12
22. Guess that means all three of them are getting a pass then aren't they according
Edited on Fri Apr-18-08 08:27 PM by EV_Ares
to your theory and if that is not the case, it must be they have been paying a lot of attention to what Barack has to offer.
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TheWraith Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-19-08 11:03 AM
Response to Reply #22
32. No, it means people are watching the Dem primary.
And right now almost nobody is watching McCain's near-daily gaffes.
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EV_Ares Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-19-08 03:01 PM
Response to Reply #32
36. Open up my post and you would have read all of it which reads:
Guess that means all three of them are getting a pass then aren't they according
to your theory and if that is not the case, it must be they have been paying a lot of attention to what Barack has to offer.

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papau Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 09:21 PM
Response to Reply #1
26. both beat McCain by the same 4 points - the subset result like Dem prefer has a very high MOE - but
it is good that both beat McCain - and by the same amount.

Interesting
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C_U_L8R Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 04:39 PM
Response to Original message
2. "Despite her campaign's relentless attacks"?
More likely "because of her campaign's relentless attacks"
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ToughLuck Donating Member (419 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 05:07 PM
Response to Reply #2
5. Ha Ha,,I agree with ya... BECAUSE of
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Tempest Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 05:44 PM
Response to Reply #2
10. My first thought as well
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Quantess Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 06:12 PM
Response to Reply #2
11. I agree.
Obama looks classy while she looks frantic.
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Missouri Blue Donating Member (84 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 09:12 PM
Response to Reply #2
25. If it's because of her relentless attacks, she would be the first candidate for which that happened.

Really, negative ads and attacks do work.
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roseBudd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 09:32 PM
Response to Reply #25
29. Or negativity comes off as nagging and is associated with mothers nagging kids to do ....
chores, homework etc.

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C_U_L8R Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 10:03 PM
Response to Reply #25
31. If that were totally true, Joe McCarthy would be president
You're right, well executed negative ads do work.. but only to a point.
At some point, people need a very good reason to vote FOR you, not just AGAINST the other guy.
Hillary seems to have whiffed it on all counts
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DavidDvorkin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 04:50 PM
Response to Original message
3. This is great, but how to reconcile this with Gallup and Rasmussen?
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swag Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 04:52 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. Yeah, wacky, huh?
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greiner3 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 05:27 PM
Response to Reply #3
7. I've read that Rasmussen;
The person, has ties to the bush family. Gallup has been right leaning for decades. Sorry, no links!
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DavidDvorkin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 05:32 PM
Response to Reply #7
9. I've read the same thing
Here on DU, I think. :)

But what's interesting is that Rasmussen and Gallup have been increasingly consistent with each other lately, and both are so far from this poll.

I'd like to believe that this one is correct and the other two are wrong, but I'm suspicious.
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Triana Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 05:19 PM
Response to Original message
6. Keep attacking, Hillary - You're destroying OUR party AND our ability to win in....
Edited on Fri Apr-18-08 05:19 PM by Triana
...November, no matter who the nom is - and you're destroying yourself.
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OneAngryDemocrat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 08:09 PM
Response to Reply #6
20. What pig...
What a racist image, on your post, Triana.

We don't need YOUR kind in the democratic party - take a hike.
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truthisfreedom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 05:31 PM
Response to Original message
8. I think Hillary makes a fine Senator, and will be a great asset to our nation under President Obama.
But if something happens and she gets the nomination, I'll vote for her.
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liberaltrucker Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 08:04 PM
Response to Reply #8
19. LTwife and I have our credentials handy for an international relocation
Edited on Fri Apr-18-08 08:16 PM by liberaltrucker
Just in case. :)

On edit: No habla espanol, But we can learn the Queen's English, eh?
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cui bono Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 07:38 PM
Response to Original message
16. If they held the primary over again starting today, Obama would already be the nominee.


Hillary has a lot of former supporters due to her actions.

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cui bono Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 07:42 PM
Response to Original message
17. Oh, and Hillary did NOT have a big win in Texas, NEWSweek..... n/t
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eagertolearn Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 07:54 PM
Response to Original message
18. This poll makes sense to me because in my small town
I know only one HC supporter and she is in her 80's. Every democrat I know is voting for Obama and I also know several republicans who have changed or will change parties to vote for him (including my husband!).
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saigon68 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 08:26 PM
Response to Reply #18
23. a majority of all registered voters now see her as dishonest and untrustworthy.
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Zhade Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-19-08 08:35 PM
Response to Reply #23
37. Even Americans are smart enough not to trust someone who's been proven to be a liar.
It just takes them time.

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Auggie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 08:56 PM
Response to Original message
24. GOBAMA!
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mcollier Donating Member (887 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 09:26 PM
Response to Reply #24
27. Obama 08
By the percentage of negative comments about the debate, it appears the ABC has awaken the sleeping giant... The movement is real... The special interest can't compete on our level. Thank goodness for the internet. 1.35 million and growing stronger by the minute... Victory is already ours!
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roseBudd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 09:30 PM
Response to Original message
28. After Monica showed up on random crowd footage Snipergate was like WTF were you thinking
There HAD to be footage. It WOULD be found. It WOULD be played ANYTIME and ON DEMAND on YOUTUBE
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MindMatter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 09:40 PM
Response to Original message
30. When is the media going to figure out she lost Texas?
"after Clinton's big primary wins in Ohio and Texas".

It wasn't a "big win" in Texas.

It wasn't even a squeaker win.

She lost, period.

Scoreboard.
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MilesColtrane Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-19-08 11:35 AM
Response to Original message
35. Actual Texas Delegate Count:
.............................. Obama............Clinton


Primary......................61...................65

Caucuses....................38...................29

Superdelegates.............9....................12...............11 Uncommitted



Total..........................108.................106

That is an Obama win no matter how you parse it.
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Anexio Donating Member (284 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-19-08 10:24 PM
Response to Original message
38. Yeah, no kidding....
Clinton's constant attacks are nothing but self-serving fluff. Senator Obama shows time and time again that he is a leader and has leadership qualities.

Time for a change.
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