Gallup: A Majority Thinks Obama Will Win

[Hissyspit]

Source: USA Today

Obama leads in 'who will win' poll

John McCain and Barack Obama are about even when it comes to voters' opinions about which candidate they want to win in November.

But Gallup says this morning that when voters are asked about which candidate will win, Democrat Obama comes out well ahead of Republican McCain. According to Gallup, 52% of the 822 adults surveyed last week said they think Obama will win the race for the White House. McCain was the choice of 41%. The margin of error on each number: +/- 4 percentage points.

GRAPH AT LINK

Read more: http://blogs.usatoday.com/onpolitics/2008/06/obama-leads-in.html

---

http://www.boston.com/news/politics/politicalintelligence/2008/06/a_majority_thin.html

A majority thinks Obama will win

Posted by Foon Rhee, deputy national political editor June 16, 2008 10:11 AM
After the first full week of general election mode, Democrat Barack Obama and Republican John McCain are statistically even in the latest Gallup poll, 44 percent to 42 percent in tracking surveys conducted June 12-14.

But the Gallup survey, released this morning, shows that a clear majority of Americans believe Obama will win in November. He leads in the perception measure 52 percent to 41 percent, with 76 percent of Democrats and 50 percent of independents predicting an Obama victory. Two-thirds of Republicans believe McCain will win.

Gallup notes that interestingly, while Obama's support during the primaries was skewed toward younger voters, they are the least optimistic that America will elect its first black president. Only 48 percent of those 18 to 34 said they believe Obama will win, while 52 percent of those between 35 and 54 did, and 55 percent of those 55 and older did.

The survey was conducted June 9-12 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

[Mountainman]

1. Good, repubs will stay home if they think Obama will win. nt

[rfranklin]

2. ESS poll says otherwise....

Their tech director says that every vote for Obama means two for MCain!

[Ian David]

3. What percentage said Ron Paul or Al Gore is going to win? n/t

[Ian David]

4. Only 28% of Republicans say they think Obama will win.

The only thing this poll proves is that Americans and Republicans live in completely different universes.

[surf]

5. Hes writing off Florida and Ohio

I get the feeling that Obama will snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.

[AndyTiedye]

6. With All the FRAUD in Florida and Ohio, We Need to Find Our Votes Elsewhere

I wouldn't write them off, but I wouldn't count on them either.