Tropical Storm Dolly forms in Carribbean sea-Watches and warnings issued

[Politics_Guy25]

Source: National Hurricane Center website

000
WTNT34 KNHC 201758
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DOLLY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008
200 PM EDT SUN JUL 20 2008

...DOLLY ORGANIZING OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...

AT 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY
NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER WITH MEXICO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO FROM THE BORDER WITH BELIZE TO CAMPECHE MEXICO. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.


Read more: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/201758.shtml

---

Given the explosive potential that the Atlantic ocean has shown over the past 3 years, this storm could be a very serious situation for many. I posted above the link to the first public advisory initiated at 11:45 a.m. ET.

Please find below links to the NHC discussion on what this storm could do and where it is forecast to go:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT4+shtml/201608.shtml

WE HAVE BEEN CLOSELY MONITORING THE STRONG TROPICAL WAVE AS IT HAS
CROSSED THE CARIBBEAN SEA DURING THE PAST FEW DAYS...WITH SEVERAL
AIRCRAFT RECONNAISSANCE MISSIONS SEARCHING FOR A WELL-DEFINED
CLOSED SURFACE CIRCULATION. NOT UNTIL THIS MORNING DID THE
AIRCRAFT DETECT SUCH A CIRCULATION. THE SYSTEM IS PRODUCING MORE
THAN ENOUGH DEEP CONVECTION REQUISITE OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE...SO
ADVISORIES ARE BEING INITIATED. THIS SYSTEM HAS BEEN PRODUCING
WINDS OF 35-40 KT FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS OR SO...AND THIS MORNING
THE SFMR ON THE AIRCRAFT REPORTED WINDS AS STRONG AS 42 KT...ALONG
WITH WINDS OF 50 KT AT FLIGHT LEVEL. IN ADDITION...NOAA BUOY
42057...SITUATED SOUTHEAST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER...MEASURED
SUSTAINED WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE FOR ABOUT FOUR HOURS THIS
MORNING...AS STRONG AS 39 KT. BASED ON THE ABOVE DATA...THE
CYCLONE IS IMMEDIATELY DESIGNATED A TROPICAL STORM WITH MAXIMUM
WINDS OF 40 KT. THIS IS CURRENTLY A SPRAWLING SYSTEM WITH 34-KT
WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS EXTENDING WELL AWAY FROM THE CENTER...ALTHOUGH
VERY RECENTLY CONVECTION HAS BEGUN TO CONSOLIDATE OVER THE
CIRCULATION CENTER.

And the government forecast of where it is to go is below:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/154013.shtml?5day#contents

[hedgehog]

1. Wow- they're coming on fast and furious. Neither Cristobal nor Dolly were

named storms yesterday!

[Politics_Guy25]

2. Indeed!

Atlantic looking the busiest it has since 2005 unfortunately:(

[RantinRavin]

8. Actually Cristobal was upgraded to a named system on Saturday

at the 2pm EDT advisory.

[HCE SuiGeneris]

3. Infrared loop...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-avn.html

Visible loop... http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-vis.html

[1monster]

4. Look out South Texas and Mexico...

[DS1]

5. I'd Motorboat Dolly

:hide:

[skoalyman]

7. Naa Naaaa

[alfredo]

6. It's been an unusual and scary start to the season.

[The Croquist]

10. It may be scary but there may be a bright side

Hurricanes can bring needed rain to the Southeast and we need it. Hopefully there won't be too much damage done.

[alfredo]

13. True. I was hoping for something to happen last year to help our

friends in Georgia.

[Baclava]

12. Nah - It's been quiet.

This dinky little storm will rain on some cactus.....phfffthp.

Stay outta the central gulf - that's all I ask.

[alfredo]

14. It could be Cat 1 or 2 by the time it hits land. Give your cactus a hug.

They need love too.

[Baclava]

16. Hey - I knocked on wood before I said it.

I don't take chances with the wind gods.

[alfredo]

18. Up here it is tornadoes we worry about. You can see a hurricane

coming for days. Those damn tornadoes can pop up in minutes, then hop around, spawn other tornadoes, take out your house, and hop over your neighbor's house.

[Baclava]

20. Tornados at night are the worst

I'll take 'canes any day over getting sucked outta the roof of the house in the middle of the night with no warning.
That's gotta suck.

[alfredo]

21. A few years ago we had a tornado that sucked a toddler out of a house.

the toddler was found sitting between two houses, unhurt. It was an F2, nearing an F3.

[alfredo]

9. Looks like Dolly could be a hurricane soon. Could hit Texas

[HCE SuiGeneris]

11. Looking more and more like the real deal...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-vis.html
http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/gulfwv.html

[alfredo]

15. Remember how fast Katrina developed. It caught a lot off guard.

[Jacobin]

17. Wow. Its blossoming.

Thanks for the link

[alfredo]

22. Like this?

[nitpicker]

19. Hurricane Watch Up for South Texas

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...A HURRICANE WATCH IS ISSUED FOR THE
TEXAS COAST FROM BROWNSVILLE NORTHWARD TO PORT O'CONNOR. A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

AT 1100 AM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ISSUED FOR THE TEXAS
COAST FROM NORTH OF PORT O'CONNOR TO SAN LUIS PASS. A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

[alfredo]

23. It's probably a warning by now. A friend of mine is helping a rancher

from near Laredo, move his stock to higher ground in anticipation of the storm.