Poll: Obama, McCain locked in tight battle for Michigan

[Bozita]

Source: Detroit News

Monday, July 21, 2008
Detroit News-WXYZ poll
Poll: Obama, McCain locked in tight battle for Michigan
Gordon Trowbridge / Detroit News Washington Bureau

Barack Obama and John McCain are locked in a tight Michigan presidential race, according to a Detroit News-WXYZ Action News poll that illustrates why both camps consider this one of the battleground states that could determine who wins in November.

Obama has the support of 43 percent of likely Michigan voters, to 41 percent for McCain, according to the survey conducted for The News and WXYZ by Lansing's EPIC-MRA. That's well within the survey's 4 percentage point error margin. A potentially decisive 12 percent say they're still undecided, and 5 percent chose third-party candidates Bob Barr or Ralph Nader. "Just as we thought, it's going to be a close race in Michigan," said David Dulio, a political science professor at Oakland University.

The numbers are an improvement for Obama over EPIC-MRA's last survey, in late May, which found McCain leading by 4 points. It's also a better showing for McCain than in other recent polls: Real Clear Politics, a Website that tracks and averages political polls, shows Obama with a 7.7-point lead in its Michigan polling average.

The telephone survey of 600 likely voters, conducted July 13-16, shows the Michigan electorate views both McCain and Obama favorably. But each candidate has areas of policy, demographic and geographic strength -- and each has significant weaknesses.

Read more: http://www.detnews.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080721/METRO/807210415

---

pdf is available at:
http://www.wxyz.com/media/news/8/d/f/8df2c0d2-c888-43ed-8a6b-21f2ce30447e/july_2008_poll.pdf

[Drunken Irishman]

1. Looks like EPIC-MRA's numbers underestimate Obama's support.

[santamargarita]

2. Right-Wing Bullshit! No Way John McTurd will beat Obama!

crap

[Royal Oak Rog]

3. yea about these polls

The day before the Governors race here:
An EPIC-MRA poll released at 6 p.m. the night before the midterm election shows Jennifer Granholm holding a seven-point lead over Dick DeVos in the Michigan governor's race.

Granholm ended up crushing him by 15. I suspect Obama will do the same.

[Michigan-Arizona]

4. Yeah Right

Not that this mean's much but I was born & raised in Michigan. I know of 1 person who will be voting for JM. Hell even my repug brother said in no uncertain term's will he vote for JM. I've alway's been of the understanding that Grand Rapid's area is pretty repug & is that where they found the 600 people? I'm so tired of these poll's of say 600 people & that is supposed to be what the whole state want's. Keeping it close is needed for the election theft of Michigan voter's. I now live in Arizona & haven''t seen one bumper sticker for JM. We talked to very few people here that will be voting for him & this is in his home state. If it doesn't look so rosy for JM here why would a job hurting state like Michigan be voting for him?

[AndyTiedye]

5. How Can it Even be Close in Michigan?

[Yupster]

11. I was surprised it was so close four years ago

Kerry beat Bush by 51-48 %

[Political Heretic]

6. This is such a pile of bullshit. Once again, the MEDIA is trying to pick our president.

[Dover]

7. Detroit News-WXYZ Action News poll ....LOL!

They must think their viewers are complete morans to believe that poll.

[Agent William]

8. The media is trying to prepare us for another...

stolen election. The MSM maintains that this election will be close, so the general public won't be surprised if either candidate wins. Close my ass!

[Bozita]

9. Welcome to DU, Agentwilliam.

I fear you may be right.

If it's perceived as "close" by the public, *anything* can happen.

[Agent William]

10. Thanks for the welcome...

I have been waiting for some time to actually post on this site, however I have been surfing this site for the last three years or so. I still remember when my mother and me were watching George II being sworn in 2000, and me saw a brave protester holding a sign saying DemocraticUnderground.com. We checked it out. We watched this sight grow from a few hundred to a few hundred thousand, this site has provided entertainment/consolation for the last seven years for our family.

[scarface2004]

12. no frickin way....detroit has to be 99% obama..

ain t no brother gonna vote for the old pasty senile combed over stubby white guy!!

[Demeter]

13. The Detroit News Is Not Our Friend

It's so slanted the print runs off the page.

It's not close, not even close to close. It's wishful thinking.

[high density]

14. Vote for more job loss and war?

What's up with these stupid polls? And what's up with these stupid reporters that have no clue what "margin of error" represents?