(1) Incompetence and inattention. Is it credible to argue that neither Paulson nor Bernanke could foresee the risk of this liquidity/insolvency crisis? Nouriel Roubini at rgemonitor and bonddad, billmon, Jerome a Paris, and New Deal Democrat over at Daily Kos have been analyzing this creaking Ponzi scheme of debt and derivatives for the past year. Even your humble servant (an ordinary observer and investor) posted a warning analysis last year on July 29, 2007:
Must Fools in Paradise Ignore Canaries in Mineshafts?If Ben Bernanke and Hank Paulson--with the economic data at their disposal--could not see this crisis coming, then they are colossally incompetent. They should accept responsibility for their failures and should resign.
(2) Devious malice. But if ex-Princeton professor Ben Bernanke and former Goldman Sachs CEO Hank Paulson are not incompetent and inattentive (and their successful careers do not suggest that they are), we are left with only one alternative conclusion. Bernanke and Paulson knew that the vast unregulated universe of fortune-producing sub-prime mortgage derivatives, especially the credit default swaps, were a classic Ponzi scheme that ultimately would have to collapse. Paulson's and Bernanke's assigned roles were to jawbone (as Paulson frequently did at the end of trading days during which the key stock indices had dipped alarmingly) and wave magic monetary wands (as Bernanke frequently did by opening discount windows and using other forms of Federal Reserve legerdemain to keep funds flowing through an increasingly constipated financial system) to keep the party--the looting--going as long as possible, and in any case until after the elections in November.
Just one problem. They came up about six weeks short of their target. Last week's meltdown forced them to show their hand and pull out their "Nationalization of Finance Capital" plan.
So it all really boils down to this simple formula:
Unitary Executive + Nationalization of Finance Capital = Dictatorship of the Looting Class
What a wonderful time to be a CEO of a Ponzi scheme investment bank!
What a wonderful time to be an invested member of the looting class!
As virtually every lucid observer on the Left and Right has correctly pointed out:
Gains are privatized. Losses are socialized.
I'll even bet that they are going to get away with it.