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Gallup Daily: Obama 52%, McCain 42% Among LV - Largest lead for Obama among likely voters to date

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RedSpartan Donating Member (736 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-01-08 12:09 PM
Original message
Gallup Daily: Obama 52%, McCain 42% Among LV - Largest lead for Obama among likely voters to date
Source: Gallup

PRINCETON, NJ -- Barack Obama leads John McCain in Gallup Poll Daily tracking interviewing conducted Wednesday through Friday by an identical 52% to 42% margin among both traditional likely voters and expanded likely voters. Obama leads by a similar 52% to 41% margin among all registered voters.


Read more: http://www.gallup.com/poll/111661/Gallup-Daily-Obama-52-McCain-42-Among-Likely-Voters.aspx



Gallup's "traditional" likely voter model, which Gallup has employed for past elections, factors in prior voting behavior as well as current voting intention. This has generally shown a closer contest, reflecting the fact that Republicans have typically been more likely to vote than Democrats in previous elections.



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Gallup's "expanded" likely voter model determines likely voters based only on current voting intentions. This estimate would take into account higher turnout among groups of voters traditionally less likely to vote, such as young adults and minorities.



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Gallup Daily election tracking reports the percentage of registered voters who say they would support each candidate if the presidential election were held today.



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fascisthunter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-01-08 12:12 PM
Response to Original message
1. Very Bad for McSame
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Mark E. Smith Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-01-08 12:14 PM
Response to Original message
2. The only thing tightening now is Insane McCain's sphincter
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Mz Pip Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-01-08 12:17 PM
Response to Original message
3. wonder if Drudge
will pick this up. I doubt it, though. :rofl:
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Number23 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-01-08 04:37 PM
Response to Reply #3
12. Did you see his front page yesterday??
Big ol' Headline - "McCain leads in Gallup Daily Poll, 48 to 47%!!one!!" with a picture of a smiling McCain.

And all you have to do is click on the darn headline and it shows Obama 49, McCain 44. Over the three day average, Obama had 49 but because there was ONE DAY out of the three day average that McCain was up by one (and I'm sure it was a typo) that was Drudge's big, hysterical headline. He is ridiculous.
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4lbs Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-01-08 12:20 PM
Response to Original message
4. That poll is obviously skewed in favor of Obama!!111!11!!
Yeah.. but... so are nearly all of them.

:rofl:
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Ken Burch Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-01-08 02:57 PM
Response to Reply #4
10. Another example of reality having a well-known liberal bias, as the Prophet Colbert says.
p://laughingsquid.com/wp-content/uploads/colbert-lockwood.jpg
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No Passaran Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-01-08 12:31 PM
Response to Original message
5. Freepers are melting down
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onager Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-01-08 03:37 PM
Response to Reply #5
11. They sure are. This is really delusional:
Between NOW and election day, convince at least two Obama/Undecided voters to vote for McCain. Further, convince these two people (or two others) to take up the same challenge. (Like a chain letter)

So you have converted people in the past? Good, but we need more!

Many Obama supporters are mindlessly supporting him, with no real reason, this means it is VERY easy to get them to switch over. Even if you fail, other Obama/undecideds may be in the room and hear valid arguments and question their faith in the One.


:rofl:

That might possibly, in some universe, be slightly true if they HAD any valid arguments. But they don't.

And don't these galoons know chain letters are just annoying to most rational people?

Interesting that they're approaching this the same way Fundies approach potential converts. And they'll probably have just about as much luck.

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Az_lefty Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-01-08 12:53 PM
Response to Original message
6. Love the "Chill the fuck out" pic.....
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Submariner Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-01-08 01:50 PM
Response to Original message
7. Enjoy your retirement John
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Two Americas Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-01-08 01:51 PM
Response to Original message
8. seems to me...
It seems to me that the entire country is trending Democratic. I also believe that the Republicans are engaging in an ongoing massive effort to suppress the vote. I also think that the corporate media are trying to make the races look closer than they actually are, as well as to bury stories about Republican suppression of the vote. That will make "results" achieved by hacking of the election seem more plausible to the public, and also give the right wing propaganda machine a theme to work with over the next few years - "the Dems stole the election, and are making false charges against Republicans of election tampering." That will keep the base fired up, and be good cover for sabotaging public support for Democrats in office.
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Piewhacket Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-01-08 01:53 PM
Response to Original message
9. McCain/Palin heading for the 'Trash Heap of History!'
:applause:
whooo hoooo!
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jennied Donating Member (547 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-01-08 05:27 PM
Response to Original message
13. It's looking very good...
Still not getting too excited.
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yellowcanine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-01-08 09:54 PM
Response to Original message
14. How can this be? Dick "Toesucker" Morris said undecideds will break for McGrump!
The toesucker is wrong? Who knew?
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FVZA_Colonel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-01-08 11:37 PM
Response to Original message
15. No matter how well McCain does from now until Tuesday, he can't make up this deficit.
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