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Obama Leads McCain (in Polls) in 6 of 8 Key States

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Hissyspit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 12:53 AM
Original message
Obama Leads McCain (in Polls) in 6 of 8 Key States
Edited on Tue Nov-04-08 01:04 AM by Hissyspit
Source: Reuters

Obama leads McCain in 6 of 8 key states

By John Whitesides, Political Correspondent – Mon Nov 3, 6:14 pm ET

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – Democrat Barack Obama leads Republican John McCain in six of eight key battleground states one day before the U.S. election, including the big prizes of Florida and Ohio, according to a series of Reuters/Zogby polls released on Monday. Obama holds a 7-point edge over McCain among likely U.S. voters in a separate Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby national tracking poll, up 1 percentage point from Sunday. The telephone poll has a margin of error of 2.9 percentage points.

Obama heads into Tuesday's voting in a comfortable position, with McCain struggling to overtake Obama's lead in every national opinion poll and to hold off his challenge in about a dozen states won by President George W. Bush in 2004. The new state polls showed Obama with a 1-point lead in Missouri and 2-point lead in Florida, within the margin of error of 4.1 percentage points. But Obama also holds leads in Ohio, Virginia and Nevada -- all states won by Bush in 2004.

The five states where Obama is ahead have a combined 76 electoral votes. Along with states won by Democrat John Kerry in 2004, they would give Obama 328 electoral votes -- far more than the 270 needed to win the White House. Obama also leads by 11 percentage points in Pennsylvania, which McCain has targeted as his best chance to steal a state won by Kerry in 2004.

McCain leads Obama by 5 points in Indiana and by 1 point in North Carolina -- both states won by Bush in 2004.

Read more: http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20081103/pl_nm/us_usa_politics_poll
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Muttocracy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 12:54 AM
Response to Original message
1. better add "in polls" to your title :)
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Hissyspit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:04 AM
Response to Reply #1
3. Good idea.
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Muttocracy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:55 AM
Response to Reply #3
6. fuses may be short today! nt
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Skink Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:01 AM
Response to Original message
2. he probably only needs one to win.
Dean on the other hand went for 50 and he was right and Obama new it.
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L. Coyote Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:14 AM
Response to Reply #2
4. I'm watching this election margin graph
http://hacks.ciphergoth.org/test-scenario/margin-bargraph/

along with other poll data. The graphic is useful for seeing which states can flip the outcome by how much turnout margin.
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ryanmuegge Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:44 AM
Response to Original message
5. But there is a huge percentage of "undecided" voters and huge election fraud/voter suppression
efforts. Obama is likely to win, no doubt, but I don't think it's as in the bag as a lot of people think.
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Mark E. Smith Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 06:29 AM
Response to Original message
7. Reuters/C-SPAN Zogby Poll: Final: Obama in Double-Digit Lead, 54% to 43%
Edited on Tue Nov-04-08 02:45 AM by Mark E. Smith
Source: Zogby International

UTICA, New York - Democrat Barack Obama has increased his lead to 11.4 points over
Republican John McCain in the latest Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby daily tracking poll -- up
from a 7.1 point average in yesterday's report. The final tally now stands at 54.1% for
Obama compared to 42.7% for McCain.

Read more: http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1633



Poor Matt Drudge must be sobbing himself to sleep tonight ..
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Newsjock Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 06:29 AM
Response to Reply #7
8. So what was the one-day sample for the last day?
I'm too bug-eyed to do the math right now, but for Obama to gain four points in one day on a three-day rolling sample, well, the numbers are impressive. I believe the previous reports gave the daily breakdowns, but I'll leave that to someone who isn't ready to pass out.

Poor Drudge. My heart bleeds. Uh huh. Perhaps he can get a job with the Harper regime up there in Canadia.
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jules1962 Donating Member (446 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 06:29 AM
Response to Reply #8
9. VOTE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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proudAZdem Donating Member (26 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 06:29 AM
Response to Reply #9
13. Only 3.5 hours...
Only 3.5 hours until I can vote. And be finished with this whole damn thing!

I'm hoping for a Blue upset in Arizona!

Go Obama!

--------------------------
Obama 2008
“Mad McCain” videos: http://tv1.com/playlists/show/11

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TheEuclideanOne Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 06:29 AM
Response to Reply #8
11. Maybe since it is the last day of their polling, the undecideds
had to finally commit to one candidate or another and most chose Obama? Just a guess. I was also wondering the same thing.
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DoveTurnedHawk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 06:29 AM
Response to Reply #7
10. Zogby Is Total Crap
BUT... I'd much rather be up 11.4 in his crap poll, than down 1% or whatever nonsense he had two days ago.
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krumpli Donating Member (96 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 06:29 AM
Response to Reply #7
12. All national poll show this trend
That means the state polls are not accurate

No way someone wins by double digit nationally and is tied in 8 battleground states
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Suji to Seoul Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 06:29 AM
Response to Reply #7
14. Utica? Why is this set in Utica, NY?
Ain't nothing in my mother's hometown except a dead GE plant and street lights.

Except my uncle's Restaurant on Pellatari Avenue.
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