1. This isn't a civil war though that's what Gaddafi and the West want it to become. They keep throwing those words about and that's precisely the exaggeration that Chavez is talking about.
2. A good portion of the military isn't behind Gaddafi. If it were, he wouldn't have needed to import 30,000 mercenaries and still be importing more.
From day 1 high level Commanders defected to the revolutionaries' side. One one base alone, one of Gaddafi's last remaining Generals, Sunessi, who as of 2 days ago is no longer with Gaddafi, had to personally supervise the execution of over 200 military members were executed, hands tied behind their backs, for refusing orders and more bodies are discovered everyday as the revolutionaries capture military bases. Here's just one of the
videos and I warn you it's graphic. Qaddafi only has 5000 of the 45,000 military force behind him and that's the Khamis Bde. He lost one of the last non-Khamis Bns this morning when the Commander immediately defected to the Revolutionaries side when the battle started and the rest followed. The Army isn't going to shoot on its own people. Only the Khamis Bde which is part of Gaddafi's loyal inner circle (and world) has the stomach for that.
Unfortunately the Army has few weapons because Gaddafi never trusted them and basically just gave them uniforms.
Other than those two comments, I fully agree with your posts and thank you for them.
To support you, let's look at the people leading the attacks against Chavez
-JOEL HIRST, FELLOW, U.S.-BASED COUNCIL ON FOREIGN RELATIONS
"Gaddafi is an ideological friend and ally who has stood with Chavez in difficult times and now Chavez is reciprocating. It is unclear whether the Arab League or the U.N. will agree given his clear bias in favor of Gaddafi. If Chavez can spin this that he is a powerful figure astride the world stage who can solve international problems while propping up an ally who he is really worried will be overthrown, it will help Chavez with anti-American countries who like to see America lose. It won't help him domestically."
-SAMUEL CISZUK, Middle East Analyst, IHS Energy, London:
"I don't think that another relatively extreme leader who is an ally to Gaddafi has a chance to be accepted as a peace-broker. It's very unlikely to work."
"It has become likely that Libyan fighting will affect, and potentially destroy, oil infrastructure serving the country's largest, central basin, which is right on the fault line between Gaddafi loyalists and rebels."
"The violence and bomb strikes could hit export terminals, and might extend to upstream infrastructure and pipelines. I think that the risk of Libyan oil exports remaining affected for a long period are already being priced into oil."
-OLIVIER JAKOB, Swiss-based research firm Petromatrix:
"Prices have weakened on the news, or the rumor, that Gaddafi could accept a proposal made by Chavez for mediation. Chavez' credibility does not fly very high; the only value of such a proposal is if it offers some honorable way out for the Gaddafi clan. The only value is if it offers a face-saving way out to exile."
-CHRISTOPHE BARRET, analyst, Credit Agricole CIB, London:
"Whatever comes of it, the plan looks very vague and I don't think it will be seriously considered. An earlier press report indicated the Arab League 'accepted' the plan, but we now see that isn't the case."
"The possibility of very lengthy conflict in Libya has increased. What is most worrisome today is how close to the country's oil installations the violence has come. Exports from Libya could be wiped out."
-CARSTEN FRITSCH, Analyst at Commerzbank in Frankfurt:
"There is probably no chance that rebels would be willing to sit down at a negotiating table with Gaddafi now. It's highly unlikely a Chavez peace proposal could work."
"Government forces are attacking the oil city of Brega, and this city is at the center of the conflict. According to state oil company NOC, Libya's oil infrastructure hasn't been damaged yet. But the risk of damage is increasing, and that could make it harder for Libya to resume oil supplies any time soon."
Reuters culled those quotes
The minute it was known Chavez wanted to lead an international peace initiative, oil prices dropped. The people above and the arms industry must have been sputtering mad because they've been rubbing their hands with glee that oil could soon reach $300 a barrel.
Lula da Silva is supposed to lead the effort
Latin America, that knows exactly how insincere the US is when it talks about democracy is backing Chavez' plan, to include Peru, the first American country to condemn Chavez while the West was still waffling.
Two others Chavez wants to participate in this international initiative
this initiative are former President Jimmy Carter and Jennifer McCoy (of the Carter Center) who both have
experience in mediating difficult political situations.
"We will make contact with many people around the world,
we can not sit idly by" - Hugo Chavez
Fancy that. A non belligerent response seeking to end this savage bloodshed without turning a massive, popular uprising into civil war because civil war is what this will become the minute foreign soldiers, cough, advisors step foot on Libyan soil. The weapons and oil industries are hopping mad. And the usual suspects rush to defend & protect their prowar solutions.
Libya deserves better than "to be turned into a semi-colony, ruled by the United States and its fellow predators from Western Europe, who will seize control of the oil reserves and transform the country’s territory into a strategic base of operations against the mass uprisings now sweeping the Middle East and North Africa." (
1)
More people have been savagely killed, with US support, in places like Afghanistan, Pakistan, Iraq, Yemen, Gaza, Colombia. There's a brutal crackdown against protesters going on in Iraq right now. People have been killed, the press shot at and imprisoned yet we don't hear any concern about that. People who are suddenly so concerned about stopping bloodshed can start right there since it's happening with the support of this administration during their continued occupation of Iraq.
:yourock: