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Detroit Free PressGlobal auto industry could lose 5 million vehicles amid Japan disaster, expert says
BY GREG GARDNER
DETROIT FREE PRESS BUSINESS WRITER
12:32 PM, Mar. 24, 2011|
Fallout from the Japan earthquake, tsunami and crisis at a crucial nuclear power has caused automakers to lose 320,000 vehicles, and if rolling blackouts continue the global industry could lose as many as 5 million vehicles before supply chains and factories return to normal, a leading expert said today.
“We could potentially lose up to 5 million units and while much of it could be made up over time, it could not be made up in 2011,” said Michael Robinet, director of global production forecasting for IHS Automotive. “As we stand today 18% of global auto output is down.”
To provide perspective, most forecasters expected global automakers to produce about 74 million cars and light trucks this year.
While all Japanese automakers have idled plants in their home country, the impact is spreading to North America. Toyota has told its workers in the U.S. and Canada to expect days when they will not build vehicles. General Motors has halted assembly of compact pickup trucks in Shreveport, La., and certain engines that power those trucks that GM makes in Tonawanda, N.Y.
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