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UA(Arizona)-led research sounds alarm on danger of rising sea levels

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JonLP24 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-09-11 01:27 PM
Original message
UA(Arizona)-led research sounds alarm on danger of rising sea levels
Source: AZCentral.com


A 1-meter increase in sea level doesn't sound like much.

But the 3.3-foot rise would be enough to flood 90 percent of New Orleans, 33 percent of Virginia Beach, Va., and 18 percent of Miami, according to scientists.

With the release of a University of Arizona-led study earlier this week, evidence continues to mount that the polar ice sheets are melting at a rate that could profoundly affect coastal regions unless greenhouse gases are reduced worldwide, scientists say.

"Sometime before the end of this century, we will cross that critical threshold where the Earth will be committed to 4, possibly more, meters (13.2 feet) of sea-level rise that could occur at a rate as high as a meter per century," said Jonathan Overpeck, a UA professor and atmospheric scientist.

Read more: http://www.azcentral.com/news/articles/2011/07/09/20110709university-of-arizona-research-global-warming.html
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ck4829 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-09-11 01:47 PM
Response to Original message
1. K&R
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Atypical Liberal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-09-11 02:25 PM
Response to Original message
2. It won't matter to the deniers.
It won't matter to the deniers.

It could rain fire from the sky and even then they'd just say it was a natural phenomenon and an aberration.

I've all but given up worrying about the environment. Nothing will change until people have no water to drink or are gasping for air.

Correction: Nothing will change until senator's children have no water to drink or are gasping for air.


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glinda Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-09-11 03:20 PM
Response to Original message
3. They will just job it out in contracts to Army Corpse of Engineers.
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Fuddnik Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-09-11 03:24 PM
Response to Original message
4. I never liked Virginia Beach anyway.
:sarcasm:

Unfortunately, I'm within walking distance of the Gulf in Florida.
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awoke_in_2003 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-09-11 10:36 PM
Response to Reply #4
18. Every 5 years or so...
my father and step mother rent a place at Atlantic Beach, NC (on one of the outer bank islands). The entire place would be under water with a 3 meter sea raise.
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XemaSab Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-09-11 03:29 PM
Response to Original message
5. We've already crossed that threshold
That genie's not going back in the bottle.
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BREMPRO Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-09-11 03:30 PM
Response to Original message
6. since we are willfully ignorant and our politics too short sighted to do anything about this
we better get better at building levee's.. cuz we are going to need a lot of them...
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felix_numinous Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-09-11 04:25 PM
Response to Original message
7. DC is built on a swamp too--
Here is a map that shows sea level rise results:

http://flood.firetree.net/
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kestrel91316 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-09-11 05:12 PM
Response to Original message
8. By the end of this decade we will wish fondly for forecasts of only one meter per century.
It's the exponential curve, stupid!
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BOHICA12 Donating Member (231 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-09-11 05:22 PM
Response to Original message
9. So the battle will be about mitigation ... not prevention
because prevention and reversal are beyond us (currently).
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Overseas Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-09-11 05:45 PM
Response to Reply #9
11. Has been. Since the 80's when we knew it could be coming
We held out too long for a dead cert.

James Burke's After The Warming was released in 1988, I believe.

And way back when I was in college it was all about the 40 mpg. You were hipper with higher mpg.

And although recycling could be a chore, we romanced the process as best we could, shared beautiful visions of sustainable technologies, locally controlled power sources, and maybe even playing music together in the village square. If need be, to set our planet on more sustainable consumption patterns.

And when that Bush Crash came I thought we were there.

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greiner3 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-09-11 05:32 PM
Response to Original message
10. Coming soon;
A proposal to rovoke all state funds for the university. Besides, it's located in Tucson.
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thelordofhell Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-09-11 06:35 PM
Response to Original message
12. I'll miss New Orleans
Virgina Beach and Miami........not so much
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blkmusclmachine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-09-11 06:39 PM
Response to Original message
13. You got to wonder: Once the waters start drowning coastlines,
what the Deniers will say. Let me guess: "Who could have known?"
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JonLP24 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-09-11 08:34 PM
Response to Reply #13
14. According to "Need to Know"
The process has already started in Norfolk, Virginia. They get regular flooding, the town has put in money to raise certain streets & some homes. Some residents have technology to watch the tides so they can expect and prepare for floods.

People who deny that climate change has an impact on rising sea levels need to look no further than Norfolk, VA.
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quakerboy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-09-11 09:59 PM
Response to Original message
15. A hundred years per meter
That's probably enough time for people to get out of the way. The way our understanding of biology and our ability to manipulate it has grown in the last hundred years, that's probably enough time to get gills implanted.

Not to say we don't have a problem. But if you pull up the "flood map" another person kindly posted, the 1 meter mark does not appear to be much of a problem in any major US city except New Orleans, which is already kinda under the water level.

But maybe if we watch a major US City wiped irrevocably off the map (not just flooded and damaged, but wiped away like Pompeii) people might start to pay attention and realize how serious this actually is.
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boppers Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-09-11 10:30 PM
Response to Original message
16. Isn't there a huge chunk of New Orleans already below sea level?
We haven't realized this yet?
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awoke_in_2003 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-09-11 10:32 PM
Response to Original message
17. and probably a good chunk...
of NYC (our financial capital) underwater, too.
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