Poll: Romney & Cain on top in Arizona (but Obama leads both)

[UrbScotty]

Source: CNN

A new survey of Arizona Republicans indicates that Mitt Romney and Herman Cain are tied at the top in the race for the GOP presidential nomination.

And a Rocky Mountain Poll released Wednesday also indicates that President Barack Obama holds a slight advantage over three possible Republican challengers in hypothetical 2012 general election matchups.

Arizona may be more of a player in the battle for the Republican nomination, as the state has moved up the date of its primary to February 28. CNN and the Arizona Republican party are holding a debate in the state on November 30. The state may also be competitive in the general election.

...

The survey indicates that Obama holds a 45-40% margin over Romney in a hypothetical general election showdown, with Obama holding 44-38% advantage over Perry and a 45-38% advantage over Cain. All of Obama's margins are within the poll's sampling error.

Read more: http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2011/10/26/poll-romney-cain-on-top-in-arizona/

---

I don't usually put much stock in polls, but this one confirms what I have thought for some time: Arizona is becoming more and more of a battleground state. While Arizona went to 'favorite son' McCain in 2008, that state was too close for comfort for Republicans.

Arizona will have 11 electoral votes in 2012.

[Renew Deal]

1. Obama would have had a shot at AZ in 2008 if it weren't for McCain.

So it should be competitive.

[No Elephants]

9. Yet, McCain had to swing even further right in order to keep his Senate seat.

The so-called Tea Party sure is cornfusing things.

[SoapBox]

2. Hilarious...

The GOPBaggers will be REALLY ramping up the lies.

There will be some Truth'n to be done!

[LonePirate]

3. If AZ is up in the air, then TX won't be far behind and the Rs cannot win without TX.

Since the Rs are on the losing end of both demographic changes and their stances on issues, they are left with only one alternative - rigging elections. If you think things are bad now, we have seen nothing yet.

[efhmc]

6. New voter's id requirements are what this is for.

Make sure people of color who may vote Dem find it impossible to vote.

[Vogon_Glory]

7. The Problem With Texas Is That So Many Minority Voters Don't Vote

The problem with Texas is that so many minority voters don't vote. Even with the pestilential voter ID legislation that the Rethuglies have run through, even now there is a large enough pool of native-born American citizen-voters of African, Asian, and Hispanic descent to send the Republicans packing, even if the Hispanic voters of Texas voted in the same proportion to their numbers that European-descended Texas voters do.

The trouble is that they DON'T vote.

The 2010 election was a abattoir for Texas Democrats. Nearly two decades of electoral gains from the abyss of the 1994 elections were wiped out because not only did so many Teabagger voters came out to vote, but so many minority voters chose to stay home.

The ONLY thing that makes me hopeful about President Obama's chances in Texas next year is that Rick Perry is unlikely to be on the Rethugly ticket next year. It probably won't be enough to tip the presidential race from red to blue. If Texas minority no-show voters repeat their bravura 2010 performance again, Texas will again be a red state.

:grr:

[efhmc]

8. We have tried everything here to increase voter

turnout. There is wide spread intimidation. In one county the repubs' have their headquarters across from the court house and according to one source harass Hispanics trying to voting. Employees have been told that they will not be excused from work to vote and that if they do, they will be fired. Many time this is never spoken out loud but passed around sub rosa from foreman to worker. These and other tactics have been told to me time and again. Now many second generation Hispanics who have gained their voice and power have decided to become repugs because the Dems never did anything to help their parents. What can one do with illogical thoughts like this? If you give me some new answers. I would be happy to apply them.

[No Elephants]

10. The more votes they can cage, steal, rig, put in the trunks of the cars,

or in wastebaskets, the better their chances.

I wonder if anyone has a list of how many Presidential elections Democrats would have won if all elections were decided by the popular vote, rather than the electoral vote.

[bluestateguy]

4. If they are not winning in Arizona they are not making the sale

I do not expect Obama to win Arizona. Even after seeing this poll I will still say that. But if they have to fight and scratch to win Arizona, they are not in very good shape at all.

[nevergiveup]

5. It is way way early and Obama will not likely carry Arizona

but these numbers should still have the Repubs rushing back to the drawing boards.