http://news.independent.co.uk/uk/politics/story.jsp?story=530312Livingstone set for narrow re-election as London Mayor
By Andrew Grice and Marie Woolf
11 June 2004
Ken Livingstone is on course to be narrowly re-elected as Mayor of London, according to a poll released last night.
The YouGov internet survey of 7,000 London voters gave the Mayor 35 per cent of first-preference votes, increasing to a likely 53 per cent when second preference are taken into account. His nearest rival, the Conservative Steve Norris, looks set to win 31 per cent of first preferences, rising to a final 47 per cent, according to the poll. The official result of the capital's elections will announced tonight.
The survey, which also asked people how they would vote at a general election suggested that Tony Blair would lose his huge parliamentary majority and Britain would have a hung parliament in an election held now. The figures were: Conservative 36 per cent; Labour 32; Liberal Democrats 18; United Kingdom Independence Party, 7; and others 7. This would give Labour 327 MPs to the Tories' 257; the Liberal Democrats' 46 and others' 29.
Senior Labour sources admit that Labour is likely to lose seats on the London Assembly, which monitors the Mayor's performance, calls him to account and, crucially, can amend his budget. At present, Labour and the Tories each have nine seats, the Liberal Democrats four and the Green Party three.