AP Poll: Kerry Holds Small Lead Over Bush

[Rose Siding]

WASHINGTON - Sen. John Kerry (news - web sites) holds a slim lead over President Bush (news - web sites), according to an Associated Press poll that shows the Democrat gaining ground while Bush lost support on personal qualities, the war in Iraq (news - web sites) and national security.

Fewer voters than a month ago believe Bush is the best man to protect the country and fight the war.

The AP-Ipsos Public Affairs poll, completed on the eve of the second presidential debate, charted a reversal from a month ago, when the Republican incumbent had the momentum and a minuscule lead. Since then, bloodshed increased in Iraq, Kerry sharpened his attacks and Bush stumbled in their initial debate.

Nearly three-fourths of likely voters said they had watched or listened to the first presidential debate last week, according to the poll. Only 8 percent came away with a more favorable view of Bush while 39 percent said they felt better about Kerry.

Among 944 likely voters, the Democratic ticket of Kerry and Sen. John Edwards (news - web sites) led Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney (news - web sites) 50 percent to 46 percent. The Oct. 4-6 survey had a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.

http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&cid=694&ncid=696&e=1&u=/ap/20041007/ap_on_el_pr/president_ap_poll

[swag]

1. Bush bumps his head on good ol' 46% again.

His ceiling is too low, even for such a shitty little man as himself.

[leftchick]

4. even if he stays there and does not get worse...

it will make it very hard for them to get away with stealing it again.

[papau]

12. Wonder why they don't mention prior poll was 52-45 Bush?

"Bush has a 7-point lead over Sen. John Kerry - 52 percent to 45 percent among likely voters - in the AP-Ipsos survey less than six weeks before the Nov. 2 election. Independent Ralph Nader was backed by 1 percent."

"In the 2000 presidential election, three in 10 voters said they made up their minds in the last month, including one in 10 who did so in the final three days, according to exit polls. The undecided group is believed to be smaller this year.

With time running out, Kerry has much important work to do in his campaign, the AP-Ipsos poll suggested.

Bush holds a 17-point lead among men. And Bush and Kerry are tied among women, a traditionally Democratic group that now favors Bush on protecting the country."

[sonicx]

15. that libra media

:P

[TruthIsAll]

34. That is F^^^ng rediculous. How can Bush hold a 17 point lead

among men and be tied with women when he is losing 50-46?

Such utter nonsense.

[Polemonium]

37. Apparently they are polling farm animals?

No really good question. Polling shmolling, GOTV is where this election will be decided.

[YEM]

2. Sweet!

Keep hammering away, Kerry!!

[Ezlivin]

3. Too bad the lead doesn't attach to a collar around Bush's neck

That would be apropos.

[derby378]

5. Cue SONG 2 by Blur, start dancing wildly (n/t)

[flowomo]

6. It may all be polleristic bullshit......

but at least it's sweet-smelling bullshit!

[Beetwasher]

7. Headline Should Be "Kerry SURGES Into Lead After Debate Victory!"

Damn liberal media...

[salinen]

8. So fucking true

beet.

[montana500]

11. no kidding!!!

this is a miraculous turnaround. Just a couple weeks ago the media was saying KErry was "done".

And now they just whimper "he's go a slim lead, ho hum"?

[tom_paine]

14. Well, Imperial Amerika doesn't have a Free Press

WHATEVER this new and toadying strain of BushPutinist media will be called, it ain't a Free Press!

[sonicx]

9. fucking polls - they knew bush wasn't ahead big

now that the sample of democrats is right, we see what the race really looks like...

no wait, i'll play dumb....BUSH SUPPORT COLLAPSES. KERRY SURGES. :D

[lancdem]

10. This could be a watershed

This is the first poll in months that shows Kerry with a lead outside the margin of error.

And he's at 50 percent, which is a very good sign.

[Lerkfish]

20. also keep in mind, this is likely voters, doesn't count new registrants or

people with cell phones....both groups which are largely dem.

so its probably even better than that

[4_Legs_Good]

13. Wooo hOOOOOOOO!!!!

Let's build on this tomrrow. We want a BIG lead going into the last two weeks. We need this and more to fend off any October Surprise or any kinda change in the way the wind blows.

Great work Kerry. I'm so glad you're proving equal to our trust in you!!!!

And my man Carville. YOU ROCK!!!

david

[whirlygigspin]

16. can you hear that hum in the distance?

Terrorist Alert Coming!

[4_Legs_Good]

21. Yup yup yup...

I'm still surprised, though, that we didn't get one on the day the 1,000th US soldier was killed. I guess since 60 others followed so quickly, they figured it wasn't worth the effort.

david

[xyboymil]

17. Excellent..the momentum has no doubt swung to Kerry's favor..

Yet another poll showing it. :evilgrin: :toast:

[sonias]

18. Great news - America is waking up!

"Nearly three-fourths of likely voters said they had watched or listened to the first presidential debate last week, according to the poll. Only 8 percent came away with a more favorable view of Bush while 39 percent said they felt better about Kerry."


Well duh?

Sonia

[takumi]

19. Should Read: "Kerry Holds Lead Over Bush"

They just can't stand it when Kerry is ahead!

[Jeff in Cincinnati]

22. Ram It Home!

This weekend, volunteer a few hours to phone bank or canvass for Kerry. Our guy is keeping up his end of the bargain by taking the fight to the Bush Evil Empire. We've got to help out. If you haven't been active in the campaign yet, now is the time to start.

We've got them on the run, so let's keep them running!

[Rebel_with_a_cause]

23. Somebody ought to inventory how many times * repeated "WMD"

to include his nuclear and extended family.

That's how many times it takes to hypnotize half of 240 million.

[PROGRESSIVE1]

24. Kick

[llmart]

25. Rate this article a "5".

Here's a "kick" to keep this thread up. It's an AP poll which has notoriously been trying to convince everyone that Bush is way up in the polls, but now the realization is hitting them, too, that Kerry is ahead. Let's keep up this momentum and hope tomorrow night Kerry kicks Bush's ass some more.

[StupidFOX]

26. That's like the ninth poll out of ten...

to put Kerry above (or "tied with") Bushy. Given that Bush has no ability to say anything witty or imaginative, I'd say he's reached the maximum support he can get. What's it mean? Bush loses.

[freesqueeze]

27. Nice To Be Ahead, But This Is No Democratic Election

Not really one-man/one-vote, I mean. I'm mainly watching the numbers in the swing states. Looks good there, also. Plenty of time to move it further toward Kerry.

I am a bit worried, since the historic trend is for people to move back to the incumbent at the later stages of this sort of Presidential election.

Still optimistic!

Big turnout would make me breath easy (as well as make these polls pretty useless.) Wouldn't that be sweet?

[myomy]

28. As a group,us Americans are really dumb.

LetÕs face it, there can be no real democracy without an informed public.

[mom cat]

29. Give this a high five!

[David Zephyr]

30. Headline Here: Kerry Leads With Likely Voters & Out of Margin of Error.

This is very big news, folks! :bounce:

[Lizzie Borden]

31. Yes!

:)

[Demeter]

32. CORRECTION: Kerry Has GROWING Lead Over Bush

Let's have some truth in advertising, shall we?

[Amigust]

33. We need a BIG margin to offset all the GOP cheating 11-02

eom

[Robeson]

38. Absolutely

AND, there needs to be a lot of exit polling this election, so that it will make it obvious if the Repugs take this election away this time. They will attempt to steal it. We need to make sure that the exit poll numbers say otherwise.

[Pithy Cherub]

35. Very Happy

that their cooked polls are now showing the truth being reflected at the watercooler. What will be the spin when all of those newly registered and motivated voters show up and make it a Kerry decisive win?

[Polemonium]

36. Outside the MOE - good news indeed

As Emperor Shrub continues to loose his clothes, this trend surely will continue.