NBC Poll: 'As close to dead-even as it comes' (LV: 48-48 with nader)

[sonicx]

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/6283969/

snip

The poll, conducted by Hart/McInturff, shows that 48 percent of registered voters back Bush, 46 percent support Kerry, and 2 percent side with Independent Ralph Nader. Those numbers are virtually unchanged from the September survey, which had Bush at 48 percent, Kerry at 45 percent, and Nader at 2 percent.

But among likely voters (defined as those expressing a high level of interest in the November election, representing 82 percent of the survey), this new poll finds Bush and Kerry tied at 48 percent each, and Nader at 1 percent. That's a change from September, when Bush led Kerry among likely voters, 50-46 percent.

snip

[DrWeird]

1. That way when they steal the election...

it won't be that big a deal for most people.

Just like last time.

[featherman]

2. Dead even = equals +3 for Kerry

This is just another poll but certainly not bad news.

[Unstuck In Time]

5. Agreed. Dead even at this late stage is very positive for the challenger.

[jobycom]

10. Ed Zachary! nt

[dave123williams]

3. It's all bullshit; their samples aren't large enough to be

statistically significant. You'd have to poll around 5,000 to get a projection that holds water, and even then, it doesn't mean ANYTHING until the actual balloting.

[wildeyed]

4. GOTV

So it is all about turn out now.

http://www.geocities.com/Heartland/Hills/1825/redalert.wav

[vickie]

6. Can't wait to hear what fat, spitting, blustering Bush-worshipping

Tweety has to say about this.....

[Gloria]

7. So, the LV voter sample is about 800--823 to be exact. So, what is

the MOE on that number??? This is a very small sample!!! We don't know if or how it's weighted...so what does it really mean?
Peter Hart was a Dem pollster..and still is doing the focus groups. So, now he's teamed with a GOP pollster. Peter, why??

[papau]

8. Hart has always teamed with a GOP poll person - but his long time

partner died this summer and this is a new guy.

[Ernesto]

9. For all you neophites.....(no disrespect intended)

At this time in 2000, chimp was leading Gore by 15 poll points! Folks, we are in the "cat bird's" seat this year! Ba bye georgie boy!

[ramapo]

11. Nader will get far less than 1%

He'll be down with the other minor third party candidates, any one of which could throw the election.

[AlCzervik]

12. I just looked at the numbers and what a god awful

pic they have a Russet there, anyhow, i didnt see approval numbers. did i miss that part?