New OHIO Gallup Poll: Kerry 50% ---- Bush 44% (RV)

[Wakeup_America]

Likely voters: Kerry 49% Bush 48%


http://cgi1.usatoday.com/news/politicselections/nation/polls/2004-10-21-ohio-poll.htm

[steve2470]

1. yay !

[Hokie]

2. Ohio would seal the deal

We would be talking about President Elect Kerry on Nov. 3. Damn that sounds good, doesn't it?

[Joe Turner]

39. President Elect Kerry on Nov. 3---I love It!

The end of the Bush Nightmare. Kerry will make an excellent president. He is brilliant, balanced and someone that would actually heal the divisions in America and the world.

[Demonaut]

3. I just saw on Fox its 48 bush to 43 Kerry ,Ohio

Hannity and Colmes.......lol

[cubsfan forever]

26. Yes, consider the source(s)

Those two don't have an honest bone between them. They are just shills for Faux News. If even the skanks at F News say it's only 48-43 for * that means the 50-43 Kerry is probably accurate.

Professor 2

[TruthIsAll]

4. "Vitually tied" WTF? The headline ignores Kerry's lead of 50-44

SOS

[Demeter]

5. When Gallup Says Bush is Losing, It MUST Be True

just probably by 5 times what they say.

[Norbert]

6. If Gallup say 6pt Kerry lead he will probably win it by 11

[BootinUp]

7. Holy Smokes!

This is frickin great. :7

[texasmom]

8. Wow!!! n/t

[MidwestTransplant]

9. Ok Gallup so he is up by 6 in OH but down 8 nationally

Sure.

[fujiyama]

11. Exactly

They are obviously contradicting their own polls.

This sounds great and all, but I'm having a tough time believing any of their polls. They also have Bush ahead by 6 in WI.

Bush may very well be ahead in WI, but not by 6 pts.

[cubsfan forever]

27. Zogby says Kerry is ahead in WI beyond the moe

Professor 2

[goodboy]

10. wow...I'm in Columbus workin' hard...good to see our hard work

payin' off...

(come on, that's funny)

[dave502d]

12. Keep up the good work.

[kostya]

17. That's the stuff! Ignore the damn polls, get out and work like goodboy you

bums!! :) Ain't gonna mean a thing without that swing... state. GOTV! That poll tells you there are a lot more Dems registered, but the GOP GOTV may be better.

[goodboy]

20. In Upper Arlington, one of the wealthiest places in Columbus

There's a huge effort called UA for Kerry...this is in Wally O'Dells back yard. I personally think Kerry's gonna win Ohio BIG, and the polls aren't gonna show it because they don't include people who only use cell phones, and they're not taking into account crossover votes. I saw a $90,000 Porsche 911 with a Republicans for Kerry sticker on it.

It's not just that he's a repuke for Kerry, it means enough to him to put a bumper sticker on a 90K dollar car.

[mom cat]

13. Welcome to DU and thanks for that uplifting post

:dem::bounce::bounce::toast::yourock::toast::bounce::bounce::kick:

[Doosh]

14. wowzers

:)

[onehandle]

15. We win. nt

[Mayberry Machiavelli]

16. Media shills quite shameless. Not at all embarrassed, every time shrub

is up by even half a point, to say "shrub ahead" but if JK is ahead but anywhere near the M.O.E. to say "statistical dead heat".

As if the only legitimate conclusion is shrub is favored by the people, any poll showing Kerry favored must be a statistical anomaly.

[Iceburg]

23. We've had reasonable success with the Sinclair boycott

given the haphazard approach ... Should we not be considering an all-out-well-organized assault/revolution on the CNNs et al?

[timezoned]

40. There's a good side to this

Part of it is that they just can't see anything without wrapping a theme/meme around it (another part of it is that they're RW biased state-run media too of course) but so if Kerry gets ENOUGH ahead, the theme will turn to "wow- he's ahead! Looka that!" and then they'll run with that. I mean it will be much harder to spin a ten point lead into "statistical dead heat", won't it.

They need a sit-com. A title. An angle to sell it. The "Kerry comes from behind and takes over the race" show is next up. Watch.

[BBG]

18. Tsunami Time

Get ready for the surge, it's gonna be a landslide.

90 days for BBG

[RaRa]

19. Sweet!

As a home grown Ohioan transplanted to Illinois, this is too sweet. While I will submit my vote with huge pride for Obama; to vote in the state of Ohio right now would really be sooooo satisfying.

[Nicholas_J]

21. What i find most interesting is the discrepancy

Between tracking polls anf regular national polls. The national polls have Kerry heado of Bush, the tracking polls show the opposite.

The national polls are being done largely by indepenedent pollsters, and the tracking polls are not.
Gallop has been so discredited that their favoritism towards Bush has been pointed out by all of the sites where people are betting on the results of the election, and the bookies are favoring Kerry giving Kerry sixty percent probability of winning.

[callous taoboy]

22. Fannnnntastic!

And welcome to DU :hi:

[MIMIC]

24. Wow...those Freetards are going bonkers

When the poll swings their way, it is the spoken word of God; when the poll swings OUR way, they make-up some totally RIDICULOUS reasons to explain away their defeat.

We, as Democrats, must mass-register on Election Day and rub their humiliating defeat in their Freetard faces. :D

[DemocracyInaction]

25. You know what the most fantastic goddamn stat in this whole thread

is?????????? - the one about the betting by the people who are in the betting business favoring Kerry at 60%. That's more accurate than any 15 polls put together. Bet on it.

[kostya]

31. Here's a different take on it from the futures market

http://128.255.244.60/graphs/graph_Pres04_WTA.cfm

[goforit]

28. Dig in Ohio!!!!...............Vote for KERRY!!!!

:bounce:

[Furity]

29. Granted, I live in a progressive area of Ohio

but I am so thrilled to see the bumper stickers, yard signs, etc. for Kerry. Saw a local business putting up a 4 foot by 8 foot Kerry sign today. I'm really optimistic for Ohio!

~Furity

[mondohondo]

30. Fun time at Lake County Ohio HQ last night.

They had an organizing meeting for everyone who is going to be part of the GOTV effort on election-day. The crowd was huge and actually spilled over into the parking lot.

I estimated that nearly a third of the crowd were new volunteers coming in to sign up to help for the first time. I take this as a very good sign.

Not much longer my friends. Not much longer.
:D

[MIMIC]

32. I put on a Bush sticker, but....

...not the way you would normally wear one. The sticker was a giant "W." I was at a fair, and the guy was passing out Bush stickers. The Democrats in my group just passed it up, but I took one and put it on....upside down though as a giant "M."

You can guess what it stood for. :D I started a trend and everyone did the same. :)

[FuzzyHamster]

38. do you post on

Gaming-Age?

[Furity]

33. Thanks for the post

And a big welcome to DU. Let's keep this Ohio optimism going!

~Furity

[Orangepeel]

34. turnout is key

(like everywhere else)

Assuming the poll is accurate, I'm attributing the wider spread among RVs than LVs to the anti-gay measure on the ballot.

[Wakeup_America]

35. Thanks for all the warm welcomes

I must admit that I have become a DU 'addict' of some sort and rely on it for the latest news more than any other source.

I think this year's election is all going to come down to Ohio, Ohio, Ohio! Remember, no Republican has ever won the Whitehorse without winning Ohio. Let's all hope for a big surge for our guys in the remaining 11 days and a big butt kicking on Nov. 2.

[BUSHOUT]

36. Kickin'! n/t

[despairing optimist]

37. How is Minnesota doing? I've read scary stuff about it going red

Does anyone think it will happen?

[Tight_rope]

41. Kick

[WCGreen]

42. Strappin' on the O2 tank and headed out this weekend

gonna knock on some doors with Mrs. WCGreen and try and get some of my republican neighbors to vote for a winner.

Really encouraged by a trip down to the southern parts of the state with all the Kerry Edwards signs in what has been, since the coal mines went down, Republican Country.

But up here in Cuyahoga County, it's all about the dems.

Everywhere but the outer fringe which is where I happen to live.

Ordered a couple of extra tanks for the weekend.

Man, having a guy with an O2 tank knock at your door and ask you to vote for Kerry is probably a good thing.

Hey, I'm one of Kerry's Kid's.....