LA Times Poll: Bush, Kerry Split in 3 Key Swing States

[Sean Reynolds]

If this has been posted, I didn't see it.

New LA Times Poll (I'll just give the numbers and let you read the article):

Ohio:
Kerry: 50%
Bush: 44%

Florida:
Bush: 51%
Kerry: 43%

Pennsylvania:
Kerry: 48%
Bush: 48%

http://news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&e=2&u=/latimests/20041028/ts_latimes/bushkerrysplitin3keyswingstates

[DrWeird]

1. Are they still polling on Nader?

Where Nader is officially off the ballot?

[Sean Reynolds]

4. Only Florida....

They didn't poll Nader in Pennsylvania or Ohio.

[DrWeird]

5. Alright, so the missing 4 and 6 percent...

is undecideds?

[cubsfan forever]

2. In their dreams they a split n/t

Professor 2

[liberalpragmatist]

3. I don't believe any of those

My guess is Kerry's leading in Ohio, but not by nearly that much. Pennsylvania's about 4 points Kerry. And Florida is much closer, even if it maybe be narrowly Bush (my guess).

But that's just my intuition. I've been addicted to polls, and they're good to see trends (for which I like them best), but at this point, we just have to reconcile ourselves that this is probably gonna turn out quite close - too close for comfort. This is an unusual election, with an unusual set of dynamics.

Let's just assume it's gonna be tight as a tick, stay confident, and keep working. I didn't think I'd say this, but at this point, really ignore the polls.

[Sinnerman]

6. All Kerry Needs is Ohio... PA is in the Bag...

We don't need Florida

[Moderator]

7. Duplicate topic--Please continue discussion here:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=102&topic_id=937992

posted yesterday