Transcript of Greenberg, Devine, Donilon, Lockhart Call

[truthpusher]

by the way it looks like this article can be rated even though it's a transcript?

http://news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&u=/usnw/20041031/pl_usnw/transcript_of_greenberg__devine__donilon__lockhart_call__1_2_113_xml

10/30/2004 7:22:00 PM


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To: National Desk, Political Reporter

Contact: Chad Clanton or Phil Singer, 202-464-2800, both of Kerry-Edwards 2004

WASHINGTON, Oct. 30 /U.S. Newswire/ -- Following is a transcript of a conference call with Greenberg, Devine, Donilon and Lockhart:

Opening Statements

Saturday, October 30, 2004

GREENBERG: Ok, I'm going to talk about the Democracy Corps polling, but I also want to talk about the public polls this week and the public polls that have come out today. Because I think it's very important that we understand where the race is, as we get into final weekend and the final days, particularly where there are serious events taking place in the world. There is a temptation, I think, to jump on individual polls, but not look at the overall - the totality of it - and have understand what's going on.

First of all, it's very clear looking at Democracy Corps polling and public polling, that we're looking at remarkably stable race - a remarkably dead heat race - that's true this week, that's true this Saturday, nothing that we've looked at up until now has changed the character of this race

Bush is stuck at somewhere between 47 and 48 percent in the polling, 47 in Democracy Corps poll, but near 48 percent, that's an average of the public polls, and for an incumbent candidate, as we know, that puts him in a very, very endangered position in terms of his re-election. Let me talk about Democracy Corps first and then the public polls. Democracy Corps had a survey that started calling on Friday night, called until Saturday noontime, it was a half sample that will be completed on Sunday. We don't normally release these polls as partial samples, but given the intense interest in what's happening in this race and possible impact of the events on Friday around the Bin Laden tape, we thought it appropriate to release this half sample.

The half sample is a very stable sample, which has Kerry at 48 percent and Bush at 47 percent, that's almost identical within a point of the full survey that we had completed and released on Friday. Like that survey, this survey is evenly divided on party identification, it's not biased toward either party or candidate and looks like a quite stable and incredible read on where the race is. All this polling was done following the news on Bin Laden.

lots more: http://news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&u=/usnw/20041031/pl_usnw/transcript_of_greenberg__devine__donilon__lockhart_call__1_2_113_xml

[AIJ Alom]

1. This race all now depends upon our turnout efforts. GOTV ! Kerry in a

landslide.

I've noticed that the only way * gets 50% of any national poll is through oversampling of Republicans and undersampling of Democrats, pretty idiotic consider Dubya realizes that Democratic get out the vote efforts are going to be huge and is now, finally, trying to get Democrats to vote for him. Too little, too late.

[truthpusher]

2. By ten points, 46-36 percent, voters say the OBL tape...

...it makes me think that George W. Bush took his eye of the ball in Afghanistan and diverted his resources to Iraq. WOW

[jefferson_dem]

3. Exactly. This reinforces arguments Kerry has made throughout the campaign

I believe that while terrorism in the abstract might help chimpy, when you put OBL's face on it, very different story.

Here's a link to the entire poll by Dem Corps.

http://www.democracycorps.com/reports/surveys/Democracy_Corps_October_29-30_2004_Survey_partialfq.pdf

[kodi]

4. indeed, the details reveal a lot about bin laden, bush, and war on terra

the majority of respondents voted for bush last time around, the majority of respondents were women, and there was a statistically significant indication that the bin laden tape hurts bush as it reminds people that he did not finish off the job.

if ther repukes think this tape helps them and hurts kerry they are crazy.

[MasonJar]

5. Please DU this article.

[ohtransplant]

6. DU this article!

It's only a 2.8 right now.

GOTV