Kerry Has One-Point Lead on Bush - Reuters Poll

[kskiska]

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Democratic Sen. John Kerry moved into a one-point lead over President Bush nationally and had the edge in six key battleground states in a tight White House race, according to Reuters/Zogby polls released on Saturday.

Kerry led Bush 47-46 percent, well within the margin of error, in the latest three-day national tracking poll. Bush and Kerry were tied at 47 percent on Friday.

The bitter rivals face a frantic sprint to the finish, hunting for votes in about 10 swing states that hold the key to a win on Tuesday. Neither candidate has been able to establish a clear advantage or break the 50 percent barrier since the tracking poll began on Oct. 7.

"Bush continues to hold on to solid support among Republicans, investors, married voters and born-again Christians," pollster John Zogby said. "Kerry expands his lead among young voters, African Americans and Hispanics."

(snip)

The state-by-state results: In Colorado, Bush led 50-45 percent; Florida, Kerry 49-47 percent; Iowa, Kerry 47-46 percent; Michigan, Kerry 48-47 percent; Minnesota, Kerry 49-46 percent; New Mexico, Bush 52-43 percent; Nevada, Bush 50-46 percent; Ohio, Bush 49-44 percent; Pennsylvania, Kerry 49-46; and Wisconsin, Kerry 52-44 percent.

more…
http://www.reuters.com/newsArticle.jhtml?type=topNews&storyID=6666974§ion=news

[Catshrink]

1. WooHoo! That's the kind of news I want to hear!

:toast:

[Mojambo]

2. Tough choice for

The young, married, born again, hispanic, investor.

[Voltaire99]

9. LOL!

Nice one.

[deadparrot]

3. I'm still having trouble digesting those OH numbers.

I don't know, for a while now, I've assumed that Kerry had a 3-5 point lead there.

[fujiyama]

5. Ignore Zogby's state poll numbers

They make little sense.

Kerry is also up by a lot more than just 1 point in Michigan.

[deadparrot]

7. Mason-Dixon has * up, there, too, though.

But polling is crap, and it goes both ways. I seriously doubt that Kerry is up by that much in WI.

[Qutzupalotl]

6. Poll participation is low.

Only about 20% of the people they call are willing to talk to a pollster. That's why the polls are so divergent. They are not indicative of the mass of voters, especially not all the new voters who registered just to kick Bush out.

[Voltaire99]

10. Very plausible

One potent pathology in post-911 society is fear of being found disloyal.

[onehandle]

4. No incumbent wins with 46%. nt

[joefree1]

8. These polls are killing me

I'll be glad when Wednesday morning gets here and we got a new Prez.

[GingerSnaps]

11. Thanks for the info.

I can't sleep or function right now because of my nerves and every bit of positive information helps.

:toast:

[BayCityProgressive]

12. Why is it if Kerry has a one point lead

it is "well within the margin of error" if Bush has a 1-2 point lead it is the cover of every website and news organization...

[GingerSnaps]

13. You noticed that too

I hate the right wing presstitutes :grr:

[Moderator]

14. Duplicate

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=102&topic_id=945351&mesg_id=945351