The Hidden Stakes in the Iran Crisis

[katty]

excerpt from/con'td:

http://www.globalresearch.ca/index.php?context=viewArticle&code=MEY20060204&articleId=1885

-The Iranians make play of resenting this horse trading as a betrayal by their friends the Russians. But, it is quite possible that they have obtained a written guarantee from the Russians that they will veto any vote by the Security council authorizing war.

Whatever the case may be, the Iranians are appealing to their partners in the non-aligned movement for help. President Ahmadinejad received a phone call of support from Thabo Mbeki( South Africa, who had produced nuclear during the apartheid era, along with Israel, later renounced them). Indonesia has repeatedly called for peace, whilst Venezuela and Malaysia are soon to receive the Iranian president.

At the same time, Iran is preparing « a world without Israel and the USA ». Tehran is optimistic about putting in place an oil spot market which doesn’t accept dollars. This is already working at an experimental stage. If no nation has officially announced its participation, many are encouraging participation through private companies acting as intermediaries. Now, the dollar is an overvalued currency whose value is maintained essentially by its role as a petro-currency. Such a spot market, once really up and running, would provoke a collapse of the dollar, comparable to hat of 1939, even if its transactions only amounted to a tenth of the world turnover. US power would be undermined by the falling dollar and, in time, Israel would also find itself bankrupt.

Washington is then obliged to apply all its force to ensure that the major world powers break with Tehran. Short of war, the US must at least succeed in imposing economic isolation on Iran. Paradoxically, neither option seems possible. The US and Tsahal can hardly bomb Iran’s nuclear sites, since these are maintained by Russian advisers and technicians. Attacking Iran would imply declaring war against Russia.

[Joe Chi Minh]

1. Pass.

[Vincardog]

2. Attacking Iran would imply declaring war against Russia. Do you think

reality will stop the insane CIC (Criminal In Charge)?
He already said he likes to create his own reality.

[Oversea Visitor]

3. I guess

the foolish thing to do will be
US will just drop a few bombs on Iran to show Iran, US can do so.
That will be the fear not an all out war on Iran
What happen after that I guess we just got to pray hard

It will all depend on Iran action after that.
The assumption that Iran will just take the bullying and not fight back is dangerous.
My hope is that US not take the risk but with your CIC who never use his brain to think that hope seems to be very very small.

[yurbud]

4. Action depends on whether real goal is stealing oil, stopping bourse

or combination of both.

The Bushies are like crackwhores with oil--they get the scent in their nostrils and they'll do anything to get it, even if it is suicidal (for us).

[Oversea Visitor]

5. What is the point of stealing the oil

Proven Iraq oil can not cover the cost of the Iraq invasion.
Any dumb fuck can tell you that Iran oil would not even cover 1% of the cost of Iran war if US invade.
But again here we talk about cost to nation not profit to individual.
One cannot denied that many make huge profit from Iraq war.
So it might boil down to interest to self versus interest of country.

[yurbud]

6. we pay cost, oil companies collect profits

Harpers put in it's index once before the Iraq War the total value of oil we get from the Gulf was about a fourth of the total cost to protect it militarily.

It's called externalizing costs or socializing risks and privatizing profits.

[Oversea Visitor]

7. That has been clear to me all along

Yup the terms war profiteers jump right at you.
The pretext use is causing so much pain and suffering.
Both country end up as big losers in the end.
This is all bear witness by the whole world
And damn all those leaders of the world who keep quiet on this
They have not done right by the people of this world by their silence.

No my friend, this all is a sad time.
Sad that we have so few courageous leaders today
Sad that people ordinary people are the one speaking out showing and expressing their disgust
Sad that they got beaten arrested for the courage to make this world better and more peaceful.
What is there to say.
Maybe after all this the world will be better
Our hope rest with the people of once was the Greastes country in this world.
Maybe that Greastes shine again by the will of the people who make it so before.