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Dover Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-16-06 02:57 PM
Original message
Understanding the Planned Assault on Iran

Petrodollars and Nuclear Weapons Proliferation: Understanding the Planned Assault on Iran

By Michael Keefer

February 10, 2006


Iran has been in the gun-sights of George W. Bush and his entourage from the moment that he was parachuted into the presidency in November 2000 by his father’s Supreme Court.
A year ago there were signs, duly reported by Seymour Hersh and others, that the United States and Israel were working out the targeting details of an aerial attack on Iran that it was anticipated would occur in June 2005 (see Hersh, Gush Shalom, Jensen). But as Michel Chossudovsky wrote in May 2005, widespread reports that George W. Bush had “signed off on” an attack on Iran did not signify that the attack would necessarily occur during the summer of 2005: what the ‘signing off’ suggested was rather “that the US and Israel ‘in a state of readiness’ and prepared to launch an attack by June or at a later date. In other words, the decision to launch the attack not been made” (Chossudovsky: May 2005).

Since December 2005, however, there have been much firmer indications both that the planned attack will go ahead in late March 2006, and also that the Cheney-Bush administration intends it to involve the use of nuclear weapons.

It is important to understand the nature and scale of the war crimes that are being planned—and no less important to recognize that, as in the case of the Bush regime’s assault on Iraq, the pretexts being advanced to legitimize this intended aggression are entirely fraudulent. Unless the lurid fantasies of people like former Undersecretary for Arms Control and International Security and now Ambassador to the United Nations John Bolton count as evidence—and Bolton’s pronouncements on the weaponry supposedly possessed by Iraq, North Korea, Cuba and Venezuela show him to be less acquainted with truth than Jean Harlow was with chastity—there is no evidence that Iran has or has ever had any nuclear weapons development program. Claims to the contrary, however loudly they may have been trumpeted by Fox News, CNN, or The New York Times, are demonstrably false.

Nor does there appear to be the remotest possibility, whatever desperate measures the Iranian government might be frightened into by American and Israeli threats of pre-emptive attacks, that Iran would be able to produce nuclear weapons in the near future. On August 2, 2005, The Washington Post reported that according to the most recent National Intelligence Estimate (NIE), which represents a consensus arrived at among U.S. intelligence agencies, “Iran is about a decade away from manufacturing the key ingredient for a nuclear weapon, roughly doubling the previous estimate of five years” (Linzer, quoted by Clark, 28 Jan. 2006).

The coming attack on Iran has nothing whatsoever to do with concerns about the proliferation of nuclear weapons. Its primary motive, as oil analyst William Clark has argued, is rather a determination to ensure that the U.S. dollar remains the sole world currency for oil trading. Iran plans in March 2006 to open a Teheran Oil Bourse in which all trading will be carried out in Euros. This poses a direct threat to the status of the U.S. dollar as the principal world reserve currency—and hence also to a trading system in which massive U.S. trade deficits are paid for with paper money whose accepted value resides, as Krassimir Petrov notes, in its being the currency in which international oil trades are denominated. (U.S. dollars are effectively exchangeable for oil in somewhat the same way that, prior to 1971, they were at least in theory exchangeable for gold.)

But not only is this planned aggression unconnected to any actual concern over Iranian nuclear weapons. There is in fact some reason to think that the preparations for it have involved deliberate violations by the Bush neo-conservatives of anti-proliferation protocols (and also, necessarily, of U.S. law), and that their long-term planning, in which Turkey’s consent to the aggression is a necessary part, has involved a deliberate transfer of nuclear weapons technology to Turkey as a part of the pay-off. ..cont'd

http://www.homelandsecurityus.net/Iran/petrodollars_and_nuclear_weapons.htm



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ayeshahaqqiqa Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-16-06 03:00 PM
Response to Original message
1. why do I feel that the end of the world is coming?
This is absolutely horrible. Between this and the die-off in the Costa Rican preserve, I'm wondering if there is much time left for the planet. God have mercy upon us all. :cry:
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burythehatchet Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-16-06 03:03 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. I'm getting used to the idea
thatthe history books will read "The last president of the UNited States - George Bush"
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neweurope Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-16-06 03:04 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. Yes,God have mercy. Especially with all the innocent - the animals and
plants and people in the Third World.
WE are the guilty ones. All of us Western countries.


-------------

Remember Fallujah

Bush to The Hague!
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Vanje Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-16-06 03:11 PM
Response to Original message
4. I'm very much afraid we're going to be 'attacked" again.
Its the only thing that has ever worked for the Bush II Administration.
A 9-11 style attack is the ONLY thing that will keep a post Nov 2006 congress from impeaching Bush's ass.
It'll happen before the Nov 2006 election.
If it involves nukes and implicates Iran, it will excuse a US attack on Iran. It will make all talk of Plame-gate,wire-tapping,failures in Iraq, failures in afghanistan, the earth-shaking deficit,and even Cheney's Texas quail hunt, obsolete. All of GW Bush's problems will go away. He can be a brave righteous war-time president again.
Bush admin will not make the mistakes they made prior to the Iraq invasion. This time the smoking gun WILL be a mushroom cloud.





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yurbud Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-17-06 03:07 AM
Response to Reply #4
7. anything less than a nuke won't make an impact--another 9/11 would be
like the second set of guys who walked on the moon (no one noticed it happened and we can't even remember their names).
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kywildcat Donating Member (529 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-18-06 09:05 AM
Response to Reply #4
18. I think that assumes bush cares what we think.
That just aint so. I really do not think they will play that card again. They are beyond giving one rats ass what we think....no need to, they pushed the envelope with everything you mentioned in your post and more and the people and congress have yet to present opposition of any meaning.
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HereSince1628 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-16-06 05:09 PM
Response to Original message
5. I hope Russia and China realize Milwaukee is now a shadow city
of what it was in the 60's.

No industry worthy of attacking here anymore.


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htuttle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-17-06 12:21 PM
Response to Reply #5
11. Well, China doesn't need to nuke Milwaukee to shut our industry down now
All they have to do is drive over to the factory (in China), and flip the OFF switch.

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corkhead Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-17-06 01:14 PM
Response to Reply #5
12. The Beer industry might be worth attacking
Home of SAB Miller, :sarcasm: Sorry, I couldn't resist:beer: :toast:
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katty Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-16-06 07:49 PM
Response to Original message
6. excellent article, series w/this one on: globalresearch.ca
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megatherium Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-17-06 08:26 AM
Response to Original message
8. Color me skeptical. We are not initiating a war over the Iranian bourse
trading in Euros. A direct attack on Iran would be catastrophic. It would shut off a large portion of the world's oil and gas supplies, it would cause a global recession, it would cause a conflagration in the Middle East. The economic advantage to the US for starting such a war cannot possibly outweigh these severe costs.
.
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Lindsay Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-17-06 08:50 AM
Response to Reply #8
9. It's not about an economic advantage for the US.
It's about an economic advantage for the oil oligarchs.
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megatherium Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-17-06 11:15 AM
Response to Reply #9
10. Same problem, a war is highly dangerous and unpredictable.
Hardly the conditions any corporation wants.
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kywildcat Donating Member (529 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-18-06 08:57 AM
Response to Reply #10
17. Halliburton and other regime supporters are gourging
themselves in Iraq. Just as Iraq is a corporate sponsored war-designed to enrich and fatten those that contributed to bush/cheney-Iran will be as well.
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katty Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-17-06 08:21 PM
Response to Reply #8
13. many agree, but the admin rhetoric, especially from Rice
(lately) appears to be having no effect, w/respect to Iran backing down-bushco keeps putting the stick in the beehive, communication has gone from bad to worse.
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megatherium Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-17-06 09:07 PM
Response to Reply #13
14. The saber-rattling might only be to get the Iranians to give up on the
nuclear issue. I don't think we're prepared to actually attack Iran. Our only military option is very ugly, just bombing them. Too dangerous, much more dangerous than letting the status-quo continue. (Iran won't nuke Israel, no matter what the neocons say.)

All that will happen is European sanctions on Iran, which would probably not trigger war (the Iranians are not that reckless), but will erode their economy. The intended effect would be to weaken the Iranian leadership. The Iranian public is not especially happy with their new president, they know his bellicose, antisemitic bluster is not helping the sour Iranian economy recover (they know that their economy sucks even though oil and gas revenues are up).
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EVDebs Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-17-06 09:53 PM
Response to Reply #8
15. March 20 date for the Iran conversion to euros instead of dollars.
Saddam threatened to do the same thing. Look what happened to him.
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ThoughtCriminal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-18-06 01:57 AM
Response to Original message
16. Nothing they plan works out the way they predict
or at least - what they say they expect to happen.

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george_hurley Donating Member (102 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-18-06 11:57 AM
Response to Original message
19. ***SIGN MY PETITION: NO WAR WITH IRAN!****
Hello,

For the past year, the growing tensions mounting between the US, Israel, and Iran are reaching a point where military action against Iran is w/in months of becoming reality. The repercussions are terrifying as such military action could involve countries such as China and Russia as they share massive energy/economic interests w/ Iran. The most likely scenario we would face would be the collapse of the US economy as the combination of a massive rise in oil prices and a run on the US dollar would surely be the weapon many countries would use to fight back against a preemptive US or Israeli strike.

For a collection of articles and resources on this subject you can visit this link: http://reseaudesign.com/research/iran/iran_summery.html

I'm starting up a petition which I will be sending out to as many members of Congress as possible. I'm asking for help to get this signed by as many people, possible in the next month. Send it to as many people you can.

http://www.petitiononline.com/n0war1rn/


Thanks for your time
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